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Everything posted by Banbury
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Looks much better , just shows the OPS are never the be all and end all -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Control has much better ridging than the OP -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Deep into FI GFS is ending with a cold push from the North , will change for the 12z no doubt Which didn't last that long -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'd wait until the run has finished if I was you -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Certainly agree with regards the lack of eye candy chats , something I commented on a week or so ago , there isn't much being latched on to …..currently. That said its Dec 31st , I'm still non the wiser with regards when we should changes due to the SSW but by the third week we should start to see something in FI ………….if not then who knows -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I don't see the point in this reset business , wet dull and windy ……..why would anyone want that ?? We are chasing an area of HP , we have one that will give us chilly temps and dry weather , hopefully it will then wriggle itself into a favourable position -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
PPN spikes being pushed back further and further , the Atlantic is having no joy -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What a lovely place , not much fluctuation in temps by the looks of things , is it good for Snow ? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I agree with that totally , stuck under an area of HP has its benefits for sure -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
He is merely talking about the HP over us and cold air going into Europe similar to what the 18z is showing - not that we will be that mild mind you -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
We might just miss out but its good to see lets hope the GEFS show similar outcomes EDIT - gone directly South but nevertheless it could be the start -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Its decent for sure , I wonder if that's what the Beeb were going to say at 21:55 before she was cut off . -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That's no surprise , its due to the HP sat over us -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes it does , unless there is a big change in their wording today ( I doubt very much ) -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
But very different to ECM , be interesting to see where this all falls -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
@ Karlos totally agree , thanks for the sticky -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Certainly looks from the 8th /9th a split , hopefully something will start to show up -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Just to show balance the Met O's forecast is for below average temps , as always time will tell . forecast-temp-jfm-v1.pdf -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Absolutely and as you rightly say the signal wasn't for a solid 3 months of blocking , for the models to come out with any credibility HLB needs to show up and PDQ -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yep , fair comment and as you say hopefully some chiller seasonal days with maybe some frost thrown in. I should add I'm not a great believer in pattern matching , there are so many variables to our weather something will always throw a spanner in the works of the forecast. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I remember watching Gav P's excellent seasonal model round up . Models were favouring HLB for DJF , the 'D' has all but vanished , currently as I type 'J' isn't showing much in the way of HLB . -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Banbury replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Hope there are enough hospitals then