Fourty Point Three Degrees
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Posts posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees
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my personal favourate is John Hammond.
Helen Willetts - 2 out of 10, she makes it too obvious shes reading from a script.
Jay Winn - 5 out of 10, displays too many nerves, swallows a lot during week ahead forecasts
Thomas Schwar - 5 out of 10, moves around too much, is known for most bloopers
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Once again the GFS model is toying around and leading heatwave fans up the path. Mustve been the 10th time ive seen this happen in recent weeks.
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Both the daily sun newspaper and the mirror are saying Britain is going to be hotter then Tenerife in coming days. Where are they getting this from?
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That's a day 15 chart.. just lol.
lol to all those who thought in Mid June that the hottest july day on record would happen this year.
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As we head into mid-August, the models are showing signs of a hot prolonged heatwave for at least 5 days in the latest run. Fingers crossed it comes off....
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Anyone know when was the last time an August didn't reach 30C ?
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Jay Winn is a bag of nerves when doing week ahead forecasts if you watch carefully
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My fave is Louise Lear, always smiling & can look at the camera without making it obvious shes reading from a script although not seen much of her lately. Does anybody else have a favourate?
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That deep low that was due to smash into the UK on Wednesday has amazingly "vanished". Looks from Wednesday things start returning back to the normal 2015 dry theme.
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The next few days will probably amount to nothing and as usual its just hyped up weather nonsense as with every other predicted "weather event" that in the end always turns out to be far less than expected.
And I thought last week would be bad given all the LP being thrown at us, still though Manchester was reasonable, lots of breaks in the cloud letting the sun shine, although very damp when under all the bands of cloud. Really I just don't see what all the fuss is about.
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I've forwarded this one to the Express for their urgent attention.
I don't think anybody really knows where we're heading in the next 15 years. Forecasters cant even get the next 15 days right never mind 15 years.
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An awful poor looking run on GFS charts, first week of August hinting at clinging on firmly onto a week long of NW'ly. daytime temps no higher than 18C before jet stream sinks and sits right across us for days on end, dragging in a non stop LP fronts.
I think summer should call it day now. Roll on 2016.
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this thread reminds me of the 42C recorded at Wisley Airfield in July 2006 which caused a big debate and finally it was never accepted.
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Unlikely. Due to El Nino 2015 we will see milder and wetter than average weather, this summer has not been a summer at all for Northern Regions but it may well be a winter to remember.
El nino never performs the same weather twice so its worth bearing in mind El Nino gave us the severe winter 2009/10. Unlikely that it will repeat.
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ECM is going for a hotter and drier than average August for large parts of Europe though the UK is more mixed temp wise slightly above average in the south, slight below average in Scotland & Northern Ireland and around average else where
Charts wsi euro weather
a lot can change so fingers crossed we see some of this heat and get another 'July 1st'
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Hints already in the models of heat building across the whole of france in the last week of July, also showing maxes of 30 to 32C in South of UK and elsewhere hitting around 28.
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Would help if members knew where you are, assume south as you want southerlies and 40°C
Manchester, but im hoping for a 40C in the UK for interest of weather records not actually wanting 40C heat in Manchester
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I love how you call your self 40c.. That's never occured in the UK in recorded history.. I love your optimism on 39c though.. Just because a newspaper had the headline possible record breaking temperature for the end of the month. doesn't mean it will happen.. Blimey they cant even get 3 days head correctly never mind 3 weeks.
I never said 40 will happen and I dont believe newspaper headlines either, but bear in mind the "laughable" 33C headline a couple of week ago, nobodys laughing now are they. Im just hoping for a quick turnaround from NW winds to a steady S wind flow before the last 2 weeks of august.
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So any sign of the juily of 2003 and 2006 happening yet?? or people just letting off hot air?
.. according to the bbc (who are pretty useless) the winds will be back to the Northwest again next week.. so the average temps that was forecasted last evening after the use of several models.. have got it wrong and they wont be?? I forgot its only early July. we may end with a mega heatwave by the end of it..Just by the time it happens it will be mid august and summer will be almost over
Not whining.. just fed up of the exegration. would rather people say what is happening with our summer. and that the jet is refusing to shift north for any decent length of time.Its going to be extremely mixed for the rest of summer (in my opinion)
You obviously cant predict what will happen in 10 days time. But the use of July 2006 and 2003 and record breaking temps of 39c.. takes the biscuit.
Plenty of time for that jet to shift further north, the best time to break 39C would be from around July 20th to around mid August.
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Does Brogdale have an official met office station? if not that will be why
im quite confused here, wasn't the 38.5C recorded in Brogdale in 2003, which was accepted.
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Moving towards the core of the summer now when 'heatwaves' and generally sustained warmth is more likely, however, the outlook is distinctly average. No settled sustained pattern ahead and it generally becomes more difficult to achieve sustained settled weather as the summer wears on (August can be a notoriously unsettled month here), so I say the clock has started ticking now on whether summer 2015 will go down as a memorable one in terms of heat and dry sunny weather or just average or worse.
There is still a lot of summer to go, and by my reckoning its not been a bad start, yes rather cool in the main despite the recent hot spell, but fairly decent with quite a bit of dry sunny weather, but never particularly great with lots of chopping and changing and a nagging NW wind. Its been on a par with 2013 in some respects, not as good so far as 2014 but far better than 2012, mid-late July 2013 and 2014 were excellent though; the outlook definitely below par in contrast.
the BBC arnt very positive in their "week ahead" forecastings about any further heat, I think its best just may aswell give up and wait for our next chance for a full blown heatwave come the 2020's
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. June was pretty poor and plenty would agree with me
June had below average temperatures and had many forecasters writing off summer 2015 thinking that summer was going to be the coldest on record. Then a brief spell of warmth prior to solstice changed all that. I wouldn't call June 2015 poor - June 2012 is what I'd call poor.
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Why do people make up rubbish? this july could be like 2006.Wasnt July 2006 the hottest July on record? why do individuals.. look for extremes and use them has a guide.?.
Theres is zero chance 2015 july will be anywhere near 2006. Infact it wont even be like the previous 2 july's which were very good...
we have the bbc using the word "average".. the average for leeds is around 20/21c in July.. we will be lucky to get 16/17c today.. ITS NOT AVERAGE IS IT?. oh and there is a difference between showers and rain.
One never knows whats round the corner. Nobody saw last Wednesday coming until about 1 week beforehand, especially with the cold june. If you think we have zero chance of any more heat then take a look into Europe at the moment looks like another 2003 is brewing.
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Where does last Wednesdays 36.7 come from when Brogdale recorded 37.5, why is it not accepted?
.. according to the bbc (who are pretty useless) the winds will be back to the Northwest again next week.. so the average temps that was forecasted last evening after the use of several models.. have got it wrong and they wont be?? 
Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
If all of these newspaper fairy folk tales were right I would have experienced very severe sunburn, been able to built a snowman and almost been hit by a falling tree during strong gales - all in the space of three weeks!! Not to forget almost drowning in heavy rainfall whilst preparing for the upcoming three month ice age