Fourty Point Three Degrees
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Posts posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees
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lots of chilly air to breathe before we get to this scorchio on the gfs 12z and that azores high is lookin so ripe 'n juicy, all it needs is just one big shove northwards and that's our summer sorted
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1 hour ago, mb018538 said:
On the meto update on the bbc, Tomasz schafernaker has gone from yesterday showing high pressure dominating, to today saying only a brief ridge before things go rapidly downhill again? Doesn't seem to match any output I'm seeing...
These broadcasts are recorded in advance so it was probably based on the current model output at the time of recording
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Tonights weather for the week ahead with Darren Bett has next weekend with another splat of LP replacing the current LP and a slight ridge of HP inbetween just for the SE only.
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in my opinion 26 is a tad too warm on the pleasant side. anything above should be considered a heatwave, people react differently to different temps. Already seen people on facebook whinging its too hot when its only 24.
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17 hours ago, knocker said:
Can someone explain what this means as I'm one the very few who don't understand weather charts and diagrams as much ta.
I'm guessing the "heat" hashtag could mean a hot summer brewing but I could be wrong
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53 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
OMG you are right, I thought the Gfs 18z last night was an absolute horror show so I couldn't raise sufficient enthusiasm to post any charts beyond Saturday.. not sure I want to post the 6z either as I might be wasting my time, unless anyone wants me to?
cant post charts from a phone
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GFS is a gloom and doom fest right out for the next two weeks. At the same time Eastern Europe has heat pumped in from the South and temps shooting right into the mid 30's.
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6 hours ago, knocker said:
No great change in the outlook this morning.
Thundery outbreaks likely today and then the breakdown on Friday and hello Atlantic.
Looking at last night's EC32 means update there are indications that the Azores HP will be more influential from the 22nd onwards well into July.
The very same thing was said approximately one month ago!! HP will return In the final week of May to bring wall to wall sunshine well into June.
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Manchester at 27°C, good seeing North West doing better than London for once as usually its London that's the hottest.
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3 hours ago, northwestsnow said:
Blimey that ECM mean is pretty awful one has to say.
Beginning to look like we will have to endure some pretty unsettled stuff for a while, hopefully not a long while..:)
Our lovely summer friend Mr Azores HP will always be sat close by and don't forget the jet is very weak so any W'lys should be short lived
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Awful downgrade on gfs for next weeks "heat". Sunday/Monday looking like the warmest days with the rest of the week just peaking at or above 22c before the that trough arrives that will probably sit over us for the summer.
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2nd June and its colder today than it was on 19th December 2015
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Excellent charts i hope this turns into a full blown heatwave and hitting 30C before the summer solstice is something that rarely happens these days. Hope its a sign of things to come
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1 hour ago, Matthew Wilson said:
Just looked at the bbc website for London to see potential temps for 7 June and even at this range there saying 23/15. Thats a Mean temp of 19c. I hope the warmth increases and spreads north with that greeny high diminishing
Well i hope so. We are long overdue a proper heatwave with nationwide temps hitting 30C. They seem to come every 13 or 14 years - 1976, 1990, 2003 .....
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19 hours ago, Matthew Wilson said:
I think this will be the best Summer of this decade and the warmest since 2006
With a greeny high on the cards and a la-nina event I don't think we'll come anywhere near
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9 minutes ago, Matthew Wilson said:
Going by the models the 1/13 week of Summer is looking dry, sunny and warm(even warmer than the 1/13 Summer of 76). Long may it continue!
Not by Alex Deakins week ahead forecast over on bbc as HP is always trying to wedge its way in from the North bringing Easterlies in the first week so nothing notably warm and with LP close by theres still a threat of a gloom fest!
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My pick n mix for the perfect summer,
May 2016
June 2000
July 2006
August 1990
September 2014
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Theres no real downgrade in the met offices 30 day outlook, still confident of HP becoming fully established with a few wet days but nothing out of the ordinary.
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so does this mean we can say goodbye to that good spell of summer we were expecting in June and 2007 here we come?
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I hope any heatwave doesn't turn out to be on the severe side, people seem to forget the hot and sticky awful humidity that comes with our heatwaves and the days and nights of unbearable heat. I have bad memories of being in central London during rush hour in July 2006.
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8 days to go until the great british heatwave arrives!!! *** REACHES FOR AND DUSTS DOWN THE ELECTRIC FAN ***
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And after the 100 days of snow and 90 days of sunshine comes the hottest spring in over 150 years followed by a "heatwave after heatwave" summer
http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/670830/Heatwave-Summer-Weather-Forecast-UK-Sunshine
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The BBC weather website have published their Monday outlook and its not a good one - no sign of a return of the current warmth for the rest of this month as the door is open for a constant battering of atlantic lows
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook
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Well it didn't last long - BBC weather for the week ahead is hinting a return to northenlies from end of next week. Back to square one we go
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
it seems the met office have now ditched the idea of the azores high fully moving northwards in July:
UK Outlook for Tuesday 28 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 12 Jul 2016:
Unsettled weather is most likely across the northern half of the United Kingdom through late June and early July, with showers or longer spells of rain at times, although there should also be some dry and bright spells in between. Southern and in particular southeastern areas are likely to see lengthier spells of drier, warmer and sunnier weather, but still with some occasional rain or showers. The temperature is likely to be generally around normal for the time of year, but perhaps a little above average at times in the south.