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Essex snowman

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Posts posted by Essex snowman

    Model Output Discussions 12z 30/11/16

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

    Another hopeless 6z gfs if its cold and snow you want  - very strong jet coming out the states, difficult to see anything good coming from this run....

    It seems that way but no one is writing off mid month for possible cold and while the experts still undecided then I'm hoping it swings coldies way but lots more runs needed guys so buckle up were in for a hell of a winter ride me thinks 

    • Like 1

    Meto Uk Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Got to admit not the update most expected but when met office were saying end of November early December was the time they expected blocking to be strong but seems they got it badly wrong as models seem to bring Atlantic back in seems every good chart is over 10 days away oh well as not in winter yet I'm still expecting a much better winter than the last 3 and I'm sure most areas of uk will see snow before new year starts 

    Meto Uk Further Outlook

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

    UK Outlook for Thursday 1 Dec 2016 to Thursday 15 Dec 2016:

    There is considerable uncertainty for this period. Further spells of more unsettled weather are likely at times, with greatest likelihood of rain in the south, this perhaps wintry on the leading edges of some rainbands further north. Further settled weather is probable across the north as we start December and this regime may spread further south too. It will be rather cold for most though, especially in the north, where there will be an increased likelihood of frost and fog.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

    Not the kind of update us coldies want to see looks pretty much same as last Dec 

    Winter 2016/2017: Preliminary Prediction

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    30 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

    The form horse BB, but , about 5 or 6 weeks ago , I said I was looking forward to my late November snow (south) , so I will run with that.:cold:

    Does any see Matt Hugo saying average November do u guys think like me I love the blocked pattern I want cold to set in end of November when it will be better in Eastern Europe to get there cold here 

    Model Output Discussions 12z 01/09/2016

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, terrier said:

    Looking at the ecm output seems we may be in for a late BBQ session. Nice to see Ian f giving us an insight into the models thankyou for that. Does seem like we may be entering a milder more zonal outlook as we head into November. But as we all know things can change rapidly in model variations at the moment. 

    Seems that way as Ian is so helpful on this site for guys like me who are hopeless at charts etc but everyone on here makes this site what it is the best around weather your a cold lovely or mild hot etc everyone respects each other posts cheers all 

    • Like 1

    Autumn 2016

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    As I'm not interested in the slightest in cold in 0ct, lat's hope the low can stall a bit like this, flooding warm air up from the south or possible Indian summer! half term Tuesday, could a trend develop? maybe 20° plus for holiday week

    ECM1-216.GIF?16-0

    Let's hope not 

    • Like 1

    Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    On 29 February 2016 at 9:42 PM, bobbydog said:

    well i've been keeping an eye on the models for the past few days (well actually all winter- but like everyone else, im now hoping we get a miracle and i am the eternal optimist).  however, in the real world, though we are facing a couple of chilly weeks, winter will not be arriving in force, to throw us into a media hyped 'snowmageddon'. if you want to see snow falling from the sky, thats a good probability. if you want (like me) a winter wonderland then give up now. we do have this label of "coldies" which is used often to describe winter lovers. now i do appreciate that some do like the cold but i just want snow. a proper winter.  a bit of frost is pretty in the morning but today was the final realisation for me. i was out in the garden today making a bunk-bed ladder for a customer. the weather was dry and sunny which meant i could do it outside rather than my workshop and i actually had to take my jumper off because i was too hot! 

    to be honest, i'm not a 'coldie' i'm an extreme weather fan. bone chilling cold,  deep snow, powerful storms, floods, thunderstorms and tropical heat. that does it for me. the whole range. chilly with a bit of sleet does not.

    sod the cold spring, if its not going to snow, the cold can bugger off and let the sun shine!

    53 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

    You are always having a go at what I post, am I not allowed to change my opinion?

    As I said yesterday before the 12z, there was nothing cold showing but now there clearly is...hope you don't mind me discussing the possibilities next week!:) 

    Karl u keep up the post me like many others on this forum love your posts so u discuss what u like my friend and in June we can discuss Decembers weather 

    • Like 2

    Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Karl. said:

    Well what a crap cold snap this is for the south in particular, an easterly flow with max temps of 6-9 celsius..what a joke!..and a possible repeat showing later next week:laugh:

    Agree frosty pathetic winter for us in east now expecting nothing but by law of averages next winter can't be worst than this now want spring and summer sun see u in November for another 3 months of snowflake chasing :-) 

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