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Hammer

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Everything posted by Hammer

  1. How is the Icon looking for Thursday Kold, been quite impressed with that.
  2. I think they sometimes split it. In to EA and then London and SE.
  3. Not seen anyone ramp. Most understand risk of disruption lower, amounts lower but still something to keep eye on.
  4. I am sure people will look to criticise METO but I think warning was wise and whilst favoured spots lower still broadly s few cms.
  5. Warning zone modified I would think to more NW based on current output with lowering of the amount favoured spots might of got.
  6. Checking 00z at T36 shows many of them with low just south of Brest in NW France around 990mb. Should reality follow I have been impressed with ICON. Expectation for me is still a few cms. For me we probably would have wanted a slightly more northerly tracked low heading NE up channel and a little more vigorous and as others mention cold already entrenched.
  7. UK Weather Updates on Twitter posted a map. He says he will update also.
  8. Icon 18z a little deeper low and further North than its 12z run but not as far North as GFS and UKMO.
  9. Note the Icon was showing it furthest south earlier so if next run it is further north similar to GFS, UKMO. Would be good.
  10. ECM 12z pretty much has low in same place as GFS around 990mb and in to NW France.
  11. Sure it may well be further North, no question. But it looks like consensus currently takes it in to France not up channel.
  12. Possible adjustment of Met Office warning then. Amber maybe for parts of Kent, Sussex, Essex. Then yellow still for similar area to before is my thinking.
  13. All models show the actual low moving in to France. Some less deep further south those deeper further north.
  14. Similar anything between 2 and 5 cm. Albeit those more southern and eastern favoured like Kent.
  15. Anything from 2-5 cm for you I think. Based on current models. Better for those in more Southern parts of this regional thread. Kent etc up to 10cm possibly in a few places.
  16. The T48 Fax has low deeper and a little further North.
  17. GFS and UKMO with a deeper low than ICON. Low in to NW France. UKMO at 120 promising.
  18. Has GFS been consistent I thought it hadn't made much of low up to now? But GFS Para had been.
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