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Hammer

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Everything posted by Hammer

  1. So Saffron Walden the northen extent we reckon at this point?
  2. Clearly joking but not surprised it got a reaction. Some in here seem to take everything so so seriously.
  3. Isnt that the point of a discussion forum. Bit boring if we all knew outcome.
  4. For METO to successively reduce northern extent is reactive and understood, but it is the scale of reduction from original warning which confirms they didn't have a great handle on this and reminds us all to predict further than 3 days at most on our small scale is still very difficult Not a dig at METO, I am keen to see what models handle things well. Been impressed with ICON. We shall see what transpires.
  5. Maybe but ICON never had this going as far up to Darlington in the first place even many days ago. We should expect better performance from METO noting investment.
  6. If ICON has nailed this then kudos to it. I can't think METO will be to pleased with the performance of their model it originally had a warning up to Darlington, reduced it back south but only by about 100 miles and now a distinct possibility of no snow further than southern counties below M25, if of course ICON is correct. Interesting viewing later.
  7. I suspect this is from UKMO 00z run as in METO app this is position of front at midnight Friday.
  8. I can't remember exactly what date it was but I remember another snow event a few years back where the northen extent of front coming up from SW was under spotlight, it just made it to me in East Herts. Looks similar, albeit I think values for me tomorrow an inch at best, unless more active and prolonged.
  9. Encouraged that METO still have the better Northerly extent for this regional thread, at least in revised warning. May suggest as a couple of models do that it may push through just a little more. But we shall see.
  10. Just checked a few hours later it literally inches a little past London on eastern side.
  11. Remarkable really. With 30 or so hours still to go, wonder where it will end up. Places like Darlington were in original warning from METO. Thats got to be 200 miles up North from M4.
  12. Apologies as cant check but how does it compare to its run before in that respect?
  13. Thoughts on how ICON has done, it had a more southerly option at T96 and was considered perhaps at that stage an outside chance. Seems to have done quite well for past 2 events.
  14. Very interesting how the models have corrected. It seemed a lower % picked southerly option and yet here we are with that seeming more likely. Shows how on global scale its impressive but 50 miles shift, then on ground this has significant impact to who gets what.
  15. Fascinated by the models southward correction. It seemed less likely a few days ago but has continued. With still 36 hours to go, its lowered the confidence for northern part of region including my location.
  16. Icon perhaps doing well again, wasnt it south when all the bigger models had it past midlands. With 48 hours to go. Hard to be confident of anything at moment.
  17. LOL your posts could do with Regards Thursday in them.
  18. Light snow continues in East Herts/West Essex here. A covering across cars and grass.
  19. Light snow here in East Herts, border with West Essex.
  20. Oh dear sounds slightly pessimistic from earlier trend.
  21. Might be good to put this is for Thursday. To stop the questions. LOL
  22. Be interesting to see if it adjusts towards ECM and UKMO in next run or sticks to its guns.
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