Hammer

I think I am about 25 miles west of closest point to the sea on the east coast. Historically I think I do better from an easterly just more so ESE rather than from North Easterly. Possibly going to be just outside best locations but hope to see some snow.

Feeling reasonably happy about my location. East Herfordshire/West Essex border. We are not always ideally placed whatever direction the snow comes from, albeit I guess lots of people say that. But possibly in a decent position, albeit at this stage outside of the sweet spot.

Would be unlikely so far out the media would say anything else. Several CM's better to say at this stage than guarantee of inches.IMHO.

At T60 on Icon low over Cornwall on 12z it was over Wales.

Pretty happy that we have stepped through T144, T120, T96 and on to tomorrow T72 towards a marker of Saturday 1pm with still good confidence of a cold spell thereafter. Still a possibility for the outcome to be less than satisfactory but confidence growing. IMHO of course.

Here is how ECM has seen 1pm this coming Saturday 6th February, in the 12z from Sunday, Monday and Tonight.

Nothing has changed really in regards models at least from yesterday. Today's 12z important for weekend confidence as are indeed tomorrow's.

Have they ever tried regional model threads. You often feel the one model thread derails in to upgrade, downgrade and confusion especially in advance of a cold spell, moreso due to location. It then becomes harder to follow. Difficult one for the owners, SE and EA members outnumber the other regions I would guess, so perhaps those other regions would feel like they lose some good input and lose interest if no single model thread anymore and vice versa to an extent obviously some great input from those outside SE and EA.

All looks fine on UKMO and ECM, but different on GFS. Let's see if we get some more certainty during the 12z.

It is good to see posters urge caution. The good thing is through past 24 hours a positive step towards the weekend and onwards, more twists to come, be interesting to see how things are looking come Wednesday 12z.

Looking across all 3 of the major models. ECM slower to evolve but time for that to change. Really looking to see these charts down to 0z they have moved from t144 yesterday to t120 positively. Saturday onwards looking cold and increasing.

GFS and UKMO 144 hours from 12z yesterday and then GFS and UKMO 120 hours from 12z today.

Yes I think a few people are talking about this in the World thread. They can get some brutal cold as many know.

When I have time I occasionally pick a point in the future and see how the models (operational) change as we near that time. I have 13:00 on 6th February saved. So 144 hours from 12z yesterday and will compare them to 120 hours from 12z today and so on during the week. Just my own way of considering things but I can see why people enjoy reacting to everything.

Light snow here in East Hertfordshire.

I could almost post exactly the same. We ended up in our locations not getting the strongest PPN, bad timing of day when we did get even decent PPN (afternoon), not being the point of where the front stalled or pivoted. Then when it returned, deterioration had occurred.

Landscape and you then get locations. If entered.

Peterborough still in the decent PPN looking at radar.

Yes Peterborough looks like it has been in a great location today (far enough west) Benefited from the front stalling right over top when you then look at radar loop of past few hours. Compare to Cambridge and say Colchester that got weaker PPN on Eastern side.

Places to my NW have definitely had stronger PPN. Almost been in an area of much lighter snow (look at M11) when you run the radar loop. I might benefit from stall and pivot though. But again those NW of here may benefit still further.

Been snowing a while here but I think for here in East Hertfordshire about the worst time of the day for it. Those who got it earlier benefiting from that cold night and surfaces.

Snow here in East Hertfordshire about 8 miles SW of Stansted.

@john mac1 you got snow yet, must be pretty close.

That is benefit of a pretty cold night and now time of arrival of the snow.

You might be in a pretty good location in that respect.