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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. Dry (after overnight rain) with patchy fog and low cloud, 2C...
  2. Well, for what it's worth, I'm hearing (on the radio) report after report of high winds and flooding form parts of the south and southwest...IMO, there's always a place for sound advice...
  3. Please peeps...Complaining about the media-coverage of the storm won't have an effect on its development! :winky:
  4. So long as we give everyone due respect AND judge any LRFs on their eventual accuracy (rather than on the number of scientific-sounding words they do/do not contain?) there should be no problems? IMO, the layman couldn't care less about references to QBOs, ENSOs, SSWs, organized/disorganized PVs or whatever...All he (I?) requires is a concise forecast that's sufficiently non-vague that it can be verified, come March...And, IMO, Ian Brown has provided just that! One thing I wonder, though: How many of today's 'experts' (habitual purveyors of Snowmaggeddon excepted) would have CORRECTLY predicted the winters of '63 or '79 in the previous November, even had all the data we have now been available to them? My guess would be not too many! :lol:
  5. Hi Neil, That could be because (as I have learned over the years) my-own locality isn't the entire UK? But, believe me, I've had my rants...Annual episodes of non-existent snow being the favourite!
  6. Dry and breezy but quite sunny, 10C...
  7. Indeed, both the 'cooling' and 'AGW' theories/hypotheses appear to be on hold... It's good to have you there, to keep us on our toes, VP.
  8. As far as 'global cooling' is concerned, one question always arises: where is it? The Solar Minimum points towards it; the current state of Milankovitch Cycles points towards it, blah blah blah... But, as yet, there isn't any. Why? Or, must we just wait for all those hypothetical time-lags to materialize?
  9. Nothing to do with anyone's theories, Solar...I just don't enjoy cold rain, sleet and freezing fog!
  10. Same here, Ste. It was about the crappiest cold spell I've ever seen! Agreed!
  11. Dry and mostly cloudy with no wind, c 8C...
  12. Good forecast, Ian. But, as one who always hopes for snow and blizzards, I obviously hope that you're wrong; sadly though, I do suspect that you'll be far nearer the mark than Joe B... And, on the subject of 'meteorological content,' I'd rather read a forecast written in plain English than wade throught a string of esoteric mumbo-jumbo 'indications' for cold weather...So, thanks for that! In short: my heart hopes you're wildly wrong, but my head thinks that you won't be. Good luck with it, anyway!
  13. Dry, breezy and about 9c...So, at least it's mild!
  14. I always thought that Laplace was the first to hypothesize about GHGs??? Before he had his head chopped-off of course...
  15. You're welcome, JL...With all that potentially unstable air (of a cold origin?) coming all that way round in the Atlantic, you 'could' be in line for something?? Maybe - here too!
  16. Oh dear! Winter hasn't even started yet! Being an 'old fart' I remember the 'Good Old Days'. :lol: And, if ever there was a time I was 'hopecasting' for a cold spell, it was in that period between Boxing Day and New Year. It certainly wasn't November 12!! I may be wrong (I often am!) but real cold, not that horrible inversion stuff, spreading west from Siberia/Scandinavia or south from the Arctic can be a precursor to cold SPELLS later on?? IMO, badboy, to write-off the winter this early, is like writing-off the coming summer in February! Take it as it comes is my advice...There's nowt we can do about it??? :lol: Let's just say: moderating would have been more difficult!
  17. Do hope you get something this time, JL...In the mean-time, there'll be no lamppost-watching duties to keep us all away from the radar! :lol:
  18. Dru and cloudy with a freshening SE wind, about 6C...
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