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Everything posted by Matthew.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just looked at temps from the bbc models and they are indicating not cool but average for central and southern areas during this unsettled snap. As has been brought out settled weather could return fairly quickly by GFS and ECM earlier. -
Just heard that on bbc. Cant believe it beat the May high!
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even in the unsettled spell possibly late next week and into the following temps still holding in the high-teens and double figures at night by the looks of things. Hope it will be Westerly rather than Nw'ly. -
Thanks. I wonder if today can climb anymore? I noticed Heathrow edging up- maybe one to watch tomorrow.
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Wow. Which site do you see the latest? I used Netweather latest top 20.
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We have a new leader at 25.6c now Crosby. Valley just behind. How high can it go?!
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Eglinton stands at No 1 today so far 25.0c currently.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Haha! I love that SS! How long will this go on for GFS deserves a hug -
A cloudy 4 days here but the sun returns tomorrow
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Iapennell gave a bit of info on that in his revised June prediction. Read his post on his main page, 20th May. I would quote it here but dont know how to
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A great week to come 5th-11th. Hopefully we be able to clock up the days of cloudless skies here in the east as the west has done this week. The last week of June is getting very exciting. A couple of long-range forecasts have flagged up the potential of the Azores H moving over the Uk. One to certainly watch as we come nearer the time. -
Yes i saw that earlier. Very interesting! I really hope it improves probabilitys of higher pressure. As Summer continues im sure all will be revealed.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for the charts Frosty. Let's hope pressure falls to the north so them low pressure systems can slip away quietly without disturbing the Uk later next week. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look at that Azores high sneaking in from the Sw -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
According to another post the warming waters well over in the NW Atlantic could really aid developing High Pressure systems which is also linked to the cold water to the immediate Nw of the Uk. High pressure may be very stubborn to give in this month! -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes these are rare occurances up here. Last year we reached 28c and 31c respectively on June 30 and July 1st. Its still a little early for that sort of warmth to make it up here. But 20c instead of 12c would be nice. Sunday coming up very warm for south on latest runs. -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thomas Shafenaker just explained a bit of the weather next week on bbc and a real possibility of a Spanish plume event with temps up to 27-30c midweek. All depends on this low. If the jet meanders like the bbc hint at we could be in for something special! -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thankyou for that amazing post Tamara. May have to read a few more times but I really hope 'the dice falls right.' It really is a game of chance! Nice pictures Frosty also..they remind me of 76 aswell -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM looks very conducive to thunderstorms next weekend as incredibly high humidity sets in -
I've heard a rumour the final figure will be 12.54 and no I don't work at Hadley CET
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That has April 2015 written all over it!
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We had branches blown off trees! Ive seen better days on November 1st.
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Going back to charts showing Northerly Blocking it reminds a bit of how June 2013 began. It's as if the after affects of an Ssw event trembles on for months after. In 2013 this northerly pattern halted from the last 3rd of the month with a notable increase in temperatures. Maybe this last 3rd is where the long awaited appearance of the Azores High will make its self manifest sending Low pressure systems into Iceland as pressure falls to the North( sorry nothing against Iceland) Just a theory is all. -
Yes very cool today i agree! Terrible 1st June close to east coast. But its surprising just how quick things can change just as June 95 showed and onwards going from very cool to incredible heat. By sunday things will feel very different
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
Matthew. replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I love the excitement of this forum when the bringers of good tidings arrive. British summers certainly gets the nerves going!