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coldfingers1

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    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Just now, Thunders said:

    The wind has gradually gotten stronger. Gust now sound like they are trying to break my windows

    You are in one of the areas that will feel the strongest winds in this storm, The fact that the land sticks out further into the channel means you will feel the winds for longer and stronger than most of the Sussex coastline

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Thunders said:

    One min sustained. If so, it can officially be called a cat 1 hurricane 

    It is going to be a horrendous night for Northern france and the channel Islands. Hours of winds gusting to hurricane force!

    • Like 2

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Gazse9 said:

    I might have to disagree with you ...the centre is still forecasted to move NE and not due to hit South East for at least 12hrs...

    I agree that further southeast from brighton eastwards will still get a good few hours of stormy weather, BUT not as strong wind as previously forecast

    ..

     

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by coldfingers1
    spelling

    5 minutes ago, WillSussex said:

    Interesting, just a few miles inland from Bognor. Wind has definitely increased but rain stopped. Not excessive gusts but lights are flickering. Our supply is underground so wondering what is causing the supply disruption?

    Your local supply will be underground but the  underground supply at some point will be connected to a supply from Pylons. The same is happening here in Bognor too flickering lights but on the edge of Bognor connected to Pylons.  Still very gusty here. and will be for a good few hours yet but I doubt we will see more than F10 gusts now. I could be wrong of course so dont quote me about wind speeds.

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Ventusky on ICON, METO and the French forecasters AROME, are all  now showing this storm at least 20 miles south of where previously forecast. This means even the South coast of England will get nowhere near the problems or the winds previously forecast. At least my roof tiles will be saved as in Bognoer we are now getting wind speed almost as high as they will reach. Sad for storm lovers but good for my sleep.

    • Like 3

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Thunders said:

    They say if it’s not greater than 70mph in the morning then I’m going. But because I’m the ‘ weather guy’ then I might be able to say 50mph is 70 as they arnt great with that sort of stuff

    Just remember to tell them the highest gust speed and not the mean wind speed. Eastbourne are (or were) forecast to have around Pomph gust speeds. Well over the required 70mph. 😉

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    og-logo.png

    6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Bognor Regis WestCam - Live webcam view with sound of West Beach Bognor Regis

    WWW.BOGNOR.TODAY
    Bognor Regis beach live webcam from the Pier at Bognor Regis, West Sussex UK. Live HD streaming webcam view of West Beach looking towards Aldwick, Pagham and Selsey.

    This is 2 hours before high tide and I wouldnt expect it to be so far up the beach already. Possible it will overtop as the storm surge could be causing a higher tide than the tables are saying.

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, coldfingers1 said:

    I 100% agree. My garden path has has so much rain that it is now sinking down into a huge puddle! And yes it was laid on top of the correct amount of ballast.

    We also were unable to shop in our local supermarked on the A29 in Bognor for 3 days as they were closed due to the flooding having to be pumped away from an electric substation so not only flooding but no electricity for a while. Still have to drive over humps in the road as the pumps are still there and tonights rain will just make matters worse. Still havent been able to collect my prescription from said supermarket pharmacy.

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, clark3r said:

    It’s pouring of rain here at the moment! We’ve had so much rain lately so I guess it will not take much at all for trees to come down due to the boggy ground!

    I 100% agree. My garden path has has so much rain that it is now sinking down into a huge puddle! And yes it was laid on top of the correct amount of ballast.

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Something that worries me most about this storm is that currently the wind is only gusting to Force 8 here but my roof  tiles are already rattling, as they do of course in every storm but never until the wind is gusting to force 10. The difference can only be the wind direction. we usually have a s/westerly wind in a storm. Currently we are in a Southerly flow which is also what it is supposed to be when the highest winds are due to hit. beenin this house 25 years and never lost a tile, I have a feeling this time it could be different.

    • Like 2
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    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Just now, sunnijim said:

    Hi,who is forecasting this.?

    The channel islands Sure.

    ***The Low is tracking too far South for thT sort of wind field to effect the South.

    ***proviso here that a shunt North could see 80mph gusts effecting the SE coast.

    All modeling this evening seems to suggest those 80mph + winds keeping just off shore.

    Perhaps one model was hinting at the 80mph winds effecting coasts on its 12z run.

     

    Check out the wind speed on Ventusky wind speed model

    www.ventusky.com/?p=50.2;-7.6;4&l=gust&t=20230331/0700

    Yiu can choose UKMETO or ICON model. Both slightly different, The Meto shipping forecasts have also increased the wind sppeds in many westerly areas to hurricane force at times. Please people do not underestimate this. Too many people died in 1987. This has the same potential as that storm only the track of the storm cannot be fully predicated and that could make a lot of difference in wind speed but the very serious wind speed will happen somewhere. Better to end up with egg on your face than blood.

    • Like 1

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, lottiekent said:

    Hey SJ - I’m still on the fence about how bad it’ll  be. As we know, and as you say, a 60 to 70mph isn’t unusual for us here so that wouldn’t cause too many issues.

    Cant remember what sort of speeds we experienced last year during Eunice but they ripped the roofs off the garages across from our house and snapped a few smaller trees.

    They are forecasting the wind to be gusting up to 89mph right on the seafront at Bognor Regis. And for some further weat hurricane force gusts. Dont underestimate how bad this coupl potentially get. After going through the 1987 storm in this same loacation my motto has always been Prepare for the worst and Hope for the best.

    • Like 2

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, Islander said:

    Well the rain is coming down now and wind has picked up dramatically, dreading a night’s sleep in this, think the morning will be carnage! 1987 all over again if not worse! 😬😔

    Just read your post. Gurnsey and Jersey were earlier shown on Ventusky weather charts to have winds gusting as high as 105 mph. That is easily in 87 storm weather! Stay safe and DO NOT go out whatever happens when the wind is screaming. Littlehampton has had 3 tornadoes hit it this year, one only last Saturday. Nothing to say there wont be enbeded tornadoes in this storm as far as I know.

    • Like 3
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    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Thunders said:

    i would keep them off if its bad at 7 or 8. if you have had some really Strom winds also. it might not be safe to travel because fallen power lines ect. i thought i only had to say that when predicting stroms in the usa

    I have to totally agree with this comment. If the wind is severe then ignore the schools. It sounds like teachers might not make it in but kids are expected to?Any complaints from the school and I would point out the double standard. I was on the coast during the 87 storm and it was horrendous, I only had a 1 year old baby then but with trees down and power out make your own decision about school or not.

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Not looking forward to tonight as being only half a mile from the sea at Bognor it might get a little hairy tonight. Picked all the pears off the tree as the greenhouse is close by and I dont want broken glass flying around!

    • Like 1
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