Frostbite1980

Or a nice northerly inbound

Low pressure near s Greenland is scuppering the GH I have a feeling this may be a close but no cigar.....UK high in FI anyone?

PV over Scandinavia primed to dig south introducing frigid air surely

Agreed pretty similar to the ECM just at different time frames.....a new trend?

18z down plays the potential eastern snow event Friday slightly with lighter and patcher precipitation, still time for upgrades/downgrades though

It does if there is an incoming easterly as they will get it first but are close enough for it to be an interest to us.

2m temps on the decline and with subzero temps for Holland, the dotted red line is the mean, temps are at the side and dates along the bottom

Rain to snow in the south and yes a lot further north than the 12z

At 24hrs it should be.....patience grasshopper patience the bdifferences at 72 hrs between the models is where I am interested.....we want more amplification from the GFS this time round

Also remembering that uppers are not everything, you can have them at -1/-2 if the dew points are at freezing or below and with a continental feed this is more than likely so any precipitation should fall as snow especially away directly from the coast. Looking at the ECM ens the op is in the colder catergory but the mean is more than cold enough for snow. Although the colder the uppers the better as the North Sea convective machine ramps up especially with SST's at around 9/10 degrees. All in all things are looking good tonight and hope to see another shift in the 18z GFS......fingers crossed.