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Frostbite1980

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Everything posted by Frostbite1980

  1. Not a great UKMO at all to be brutally honest, any further movement South and it will be a normal cold spell rather than an epic one
  2. Accuweather really make me laugh with their seasonal forecasts for Europe - Not even a mention of a very cold start to spring but more an enphasis on wind storms as they call them https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/2018-europe-spring-forecast-severe-weather-to-target-eastern-and-central-europe-shift-to-drier-warmer-weather-from-uk-to-france-and-spain/70004191
  3. Certainly highlights the snow risks for our area I expect it will be upgraded to level 3 on Sunday/early next week ?
  4. @yamkin you had the Severe Winter Weather - Level 2 alert yet? Looks good
  5. Come on peeps no one knows what snow potential there is yet and this is the model thread not snow watch.....talking of which the GFS will start churning out shortly and hopefully it doesn’t blow up the Scandinavian high as much this time round
  6. Easily if the wind direction is good. I would say an E/NE wind would suit you best
  7. And you are in one of the best places to get the convective snowfall you lucky begger
  8. If they show the same as the Aperge I think I will give that a miss lol
  9. Lol that looks like Mr Burns out of the Simpsons.......seriously though -16’s about to cross the North Sea
  10. SST’s are above average on the east coast including the SE corner. That combined with upper air temperatures of below -10 and a strong easterly wind is a recipe for large convective snow showers and that’s even before we talk about Thames/Wash streamers. If this easterly (as long as it develops as currently shown) is dry I will run round my local park with my pants on my head! http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2018/anomnight.2.19.2018.gif
  11. Just had an email from JH warning of the the cold for next week.....certainly starting to ramp up the snow possibility from Sunday night onwards and comparing with the years 09/10 and March 2013
  12. You have to laugh even with a raging easterly if the snow charts were to be correct its more north eastern areas of England and Scotland that would get the dumping while most of us run around like headless chickens to each window trying to find a falling snow grain
  13. Blue is it the huge temperature gradient that is blowing up that Iberian low? It seems to blow up really quickly and that is the only explanation I can think of as to why?
  14. Snow to rain and back to snow again unless it goes due east then all snow. If it moves north east it will bring milder uppers to the south of the UK at least before moving away and dragging colder air back south again. Not that it is going to happen any way but the 6z had a similar scenario but a lot shallower so you never know!
  15. Not my council yet, only the Met Office Cold Weather Health Watch Service talking about potential upcoming cold weather warnings in the coming few weeks.
  16. There have not been many op runs that show this evolution so lets just wait and see where the mean sits before people start reaching for the Prozac. To be fair even if there is a major shift in the mean it would seriously put doubt it my mind how reliable anything is model wise is this current period of teleconnections and background signals as they have been so steadfast up to this point.
  17. To be fair when FI begins at T96 small changes at T48 will make all the difference if this circumstance.
  18. The low in the mid Atlantic is a lot deeper and slightly better ridging north into the west of Scandinavia to my untrained eye?
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