Frostbite1980
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Everything posted by Frostbite1980
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Wow....tried to participate in the mad thread....don't think I will do that again!!
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I will happily take that
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Totally agree that is why I said I had seen enough. I was only commenting on the latter part of the run.
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The energy coming out of the US is going to go over the ridge and flattern the pattern in future frames IMO
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I have seen enough.....too much energy going over the top of the ridge...there is only one way this run is going and that is as flat as a pancake. Tomorrow is another day so hopefully we see a better day of op runs
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Too much energy coming out NE US looking likely to sink the high over the UK?
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Is this a situation where cold air moving into the Eastern US could help our pattern to cold also by creating low pressure moving off the Eastern seaboard and creating WAA into Greenland creating a Greenland high? One of the few scenarios where both sides of the Atlantic are cold?
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Which when fronts crossing the country as early as Wednesday next week are being pushed back makes it very difficult to work out what will happen after....as always more runs needed
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Is that 3 outliers on the trot?
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If we look at 'trends' the the ECM mean has been solid with mid Atlantic height rises towards Greenland until tonight which although has reduced this slightly is still there so my advise is let's see if the trend to moving heights towards Greenland being watered down by tomorrow evening then we should take notice but until then we have 2 GFS runs to look forward to which might perk us up a bit
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Looking good for the states again surprise surprise
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@tight isobar any thoughts? Always love trying to work out your interpretation
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I really respect your info but I'm sorry unless you live up the very top of a mountain the 240 ECM would produce nothing but rain and trying to make out its an OK chart seems to me like clutching at very long straws
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Sorry but north or south that is an awful 240 chart from the ECM I'm sure it will not end up like that but compared to other output that is the worst chart yet
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That does not look like a distressed PV to me
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If the GFS P verified we could well be looking at a sub zero CET for January....Now that would be special
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GFS making more of the low in the mid Atlantic on the 6z what the does down the line....I have no idea
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And if there is more of a NE influence then the UK can actually be colder than Debit
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None of the output is bad compared to previous years...slowly slowly catchy monkey! There is so much going on atm and that's before further warnings happen above! When was the last time we have seen so many Warmings take place in the space of a month? If we haven't seen it then the more advanced suites haven't seen it! I sum it up in one word.....chaos!
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A sharper ridge in the Atlantic would make a huge difference, still not to be sneezed at!
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It's called learning and he/she is trying to decipher what is going on, don't put them off, we all learn something every day!
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No chance of the high moving in that direction while there is a low over Iceland but could migrate to scandi if we ask nicely
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It seems like a flip flop between heights rising in greenie or heights rising in scandi I will take either as long as the pattern doesn't go flat and at the moment that doesn't seem likely
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In my eyes the general trend is looking good at present, there is plenty of scope for Atlantic ridging coupled with further warnings up above. At this juncture all we can look at is trends and IMO it is 60/40 cold and hopefully the ECM can build on that.....let's not run before we can walk whether you are a cold or warm lover!
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Would prefer the WAA going more north than NW.
