TonyH

Hazy sun first thing, then a cloudy and very cool day. Spells of light rain afternoon, intermittent after 1600. Moderate SW backing SE breeze. Min: 9.4c @ 0600 Max: 13.7c @ 1530 Rain yesterday: 3.2mm Rain since 10am today: 2.3mm Currently: Cloudy, dry Temp: 12c/ 90%/ 1013mbar, rising slowly

Rain distribition in time and space eh? One of lifes great quandries!

Apologies charts a little jumbled and some duplicated! Too much trouble to sort out!

[b]Headline: Warm with some thundery showers to mid week, then much cooler, unsettled next weekend[/b] [font=arial][size=3]The weather over the past week has been quite a shock to the system for us in West Wales,with the abrupt change to cool, rather cloudy and at times wet weather, following on from the previous week of warmth and almost unbroken sunshine! Frequent rain and showers since Wednesday has deposited 25mm in the rain gauge here, although far from a washout of a week. Coventry was the wettest place in the UK on Friday as a train of heavy showers and thunderstorms tracked in a narrow line through the Midlands giving over 20mm in the afternoon alone, whilst nearby Rugby and Warwick escaped with just a millimetre or so! A disappointingly cool as well as wet week, for a time on both Thursday and Saturday afternoon's the temperature was below 10c here- at least the nights have been milder with all the cloud, missing those ISS passovers though. Another mixed week ahead with no definite weather patterns emerging, some dry fine days, but rain or showers on others, so again far from a washout of a week at least, even if we will not be seeing any settled dry and wam spell in the making just yet. Some fine margins with our weather this week, as slight shifts of slow-moving weather fronts could make all the difference, say between a wet and dry day, but we will try our best..[/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]On Sunday low pressure will fail to make inroads into the UK remaining to our SW, it's slow-moving fronts will however make it a mainly cloudy afternoon for West Wales and the South Midlands, although the rain should be restricted to South Wales and the far SW Midlands. Sunny intervals and just an isolated shower for the bulk of the Midlands this afternoon. Very cool in the rain for SW Wales highs of just 14c, but 18c for the brighter North Midlands, so a pleasant afternoon here. During this evening rain may extend into NW Wales too, and overnight further rain at times for West Wales, some heavier bursts in places. On Monday there is a heat low over France but relatively high pressure over northern UK, we should just about escape the rain and showers on Monday which should be a fine and dry day for the majority, just the chance of some rain skirting the South Wales coast during the afternoon. Sunshine breaks through the cloud for most, but not a plain sunny day, more a case of sunny intervals, feeling rather humid with a gentle east breeze and highs around 21c 70f, so not a bad day on Monday. However, even at this stage in the forecasting, Monday could possibly see greater advancement north of the southern England front, so something to bear in mind is that it may go pear-shaped with some rain affecting more of us, but odds are on a decent day. Clearing skies to follow so hopefully an opportunity to view the ISS once more (there is a very bright pass around 22:30). Good news for Tuesday is that the warm, humid Continental air will be advecting NW over England and Wales. A front will be introducing this warm, humid air, and so plenty of cloud and even some spots of rain during the morning, the cloud should break to sunny intervals through Tuesday afternoon, feeling quite sultry, and in turn this sunshine will be setting off a scattering of showers by evening, even with some thunder for one or two spots. Maxima a warm 21 to 24c, A mild, rather sticky night to follow as any showers die out, no lower than 15c for SW Wales and the South Midlands. [/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Forecasting is especially problematic for Wednesday and Thursday with a ridge of high pressure trying to push into the UK, but may be thwarted by the still present heat low over the near Continent. The model concensus now though seems that for Wednesday the shallow low makes it over to England thus maintaining the supply of warm and humid air, especially over the Midlands where 27c (80f) is not out of the question, cooler at 20c or so for Cardigan Bay where there will be a pleasant onshore breeze. Sunny spells on Wednesday, but this heat would no doubt be setting off torrential, thundery showers and storms through Wednesday afternoon and evening. Incidentally the Low Countries could well be hitting the 90's f on Wednesday! Earlier model output would have brought us a cooling ridge of high pressure by Wednesday but this scenario can now largely be discounted in favour of the humid, potentially thundery one outlined above. For Wednesday night, and the cooler air starts to push east, this though likely to develop a trough over Wales where it could potentially be a very wet night. Much cooler then on Thursday, as our warm, thundery low is headed for Scandinavia, with a weak Atlantic ridge coming into the west. A cool northerly flow on Thursday with showers, more especially over the Midlands where they will be heavy at times. A big drop in temperatures from Wednesday, highs between 15 and 19c only.[/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]More of a defined westerly Atlantic pattern to end the week, Friday promises a transient ridge of high pressure, a largely dry and bright day but none too warm, highs just 16 to 19c. This ridge is being followed hard on its heels by low pressure which moves into northern Britain on Saturday, and its fronts may spoil the end of Friday for West Wales. Low pressure over or close by throughout next weekend, and a cool air mass, showers or longer spells of rain, with sunny intervals between times, highs probably in the 15 to 19c range, so very disappointing for late June, and by which time the days will have started to get shorter! [/size][/font]

Heavy showers last night. Sunny intervals and some showers today, prolonged early afternoon. Very cool with a fresh SW wind. Min: 6.2c @ 0600 Max: 14.7c @ 1630 Rain yesterday: 8.9mm Rain since 10am today: 3mm Currently: Cloudy, dry Temp: 11.8c RH: 85% Pressure: 1009mbar, rising slowly

Clear spells to cloud last night. Cloudy am, spells of rain, some heavy 0730 to 10am. Occasional brief showers this morning and early afternoon, sunny spells 13 to 1530, then cloudier again. LIght rain early this evening is turning heavier. Southerly winds, strenghened late morning, strong gusts up to 35mph this evening (note anemometer now mounted on the roof). Min: 8.4c @ 0100 Max: 17.5c @ 1500 Rain yesterday: 6.9mm Rain since 10am today: 2mm Max wind gust: 35mph @ 1900 Currently: Windy, moderate rain Temp: 10.6c RH: 93% Pressure: 1004mbar, falling

Sferic sw of Coventry

Cloudy and rather windy to early afternoon with mainly light rain and drizzle at times. SSW wind veered W/NW early afternoon and it dried up with sunny intervals. Wind backed to SSW again this evening. Cool (very cool indeed early afternoon when the temperature fell to just 9.9c) Min: 11.5c @ 0200 Max: 15.6c @ 1600 Rain yesterday: 6.9mm Rain since 10am: 1.5mm Currently: Rather cloudy, breezy Temp: 10.8c RH: 86% Pressure: 1016mbar, rising

Thought more reports

Thunderstorms over Midlands

Mild and drizzly last night. Cloudy/ dull today, a few bright intervals, further occasional drizzle afternoon, with a spell of quite heavy rain 14 - 1500. Cool, but rather humid, with a moderate to fresh southerly wind. Min: 12.1c @ 0700 Max: 15.3c @ 1600 Rain yesterday: 1.4mm Rain since 10am today: 3.7mm Currently: Drizzle Temp: 13.5c RH: 96% Pressure: 1006mbar, falling slowly

Quite a mild night for a change and the first minima above 10c since 8th May! Occasional drizzle from the early hours. Raher cloudy and breezy (SSW) today, drizzle at times to mid afternoon. Sunny spells 18 -20. Min: 10.4c @ 0400 Max: 16.5c @ 1400 Rain yesterday: 0.9mm Rain since 10am today: 0.6mm Currently: Cloudy, spits of drizzle Temp: 13c RH: 88% Pressure: 1008mbar, falling slowly

Oh dear how wrong at just one day out for the Midlands, that stubborn cool cloud cover, 14c max Church Lawford, very wrong!

Clear and cool last night. Sunny to 0930, rather cloudy to 1200, sunny spells pm. Quite warm, moderate SSE breeze. Min: 4.8c @ 0400 Max: 19.9c @ 1500 Dry yesterday and today, 11 successsive dry days. Currently: Thickening CS, sunny Temp: 13c RH: 70% Pressure: 1013mbar, steady And Sunday's selection:

Clear and cool last night, not far off a grass frost, but not up early enough to check! Almost unbroken sunshine and warm again today. That is the seventh successive mostly sunny day which would have had at least 10 hours. Light and variable breezes. Min: 3.9c @ 0600 Max: 22.8c @ 1600 Dry yet again today (we are going to pay for this!) Currently: Sunny 16c/ 63%/ 1015mbar steady

[font=arial][size=3][b]Headline: MIxed; some rain at times, but equally dry and warm at times too (no washout!)[/b][/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]A fantastic dry, warm and sunny week here in West Wales. Almost unbroken sunshine, I estimate 90 hours since this time last week. The cool air mass early in the week illustrated by 3 successive grass frosts on my lawn from Sunday to Tuesday, athough air temperatures stayed above plus 3c. The MIdlands has not fared as well being plagued by cool NE winds and low cloud from time to time, that stuck virtually the whole of Wednesday keeping it cool at below 15c max, this returning again over this weekend, reminding Midlanders how cool the North Sea still is in early Summer. Each day rose above 20c for inland Wales, with some very warm days late in the week, warmest being 25c from such diverse places as Porthmadog, Lampeter and Llanelli on Friday. At Coventry, the cool North Sea breeze prevented temperatures from getting above 20c except on Friday (20.1c). This time last year 80mm rain had fallen so far in June at Llanwnnen and 67mm at Coventry- exceptionally high figures, and the devastating floods had just occurred in the Aberystwyth and Machynlleth areas, but in total contrast so far this month ZERO rain. There will be some rain in the coming week, and for West Wales a cloudier week, but we lose the NE flow, and so the Midlands actually becomes warmer with above average temperatures for a change here! Thankfully no chance of the washout conditions of June 2012 are being predicted.[/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Yet another sunny and warm day for West Wales on Sunday, whereas the ongoing saga for the Midlands of 'will it, won't it clear?' regarding the North Sea cloud. As with Saturday, there should be sunny spells during the afternoon for the Midlands, especially the West Midlands, however none too warm at only 17c or so this afternoon, compared with 20 to 23c highs over West Wales. A clear and cool night follows, subtle changes in wind direction should halt the return of the North Sea cloud sheet for the Midlands, so close to a grass frost here too, lows of just 3 to 6c. HIgh pressure is declining over the UK during Monday as Atlantic fronts queue up to our west. Monday though a largely dry and warm day with sunny spells, the Midlands joining in as well, highs close to 21c on Monday. Just the chance of an afternoon shower over the Welsh hills. Low pressure is centred to the west of Ireland on Tuesday, with the remnants of our high over the North Sea. Fronts do cross the UK on Tuesday but these are expected to be weak and only produce a little rain in places, as is typical, West Wales more likely to be cloudy and damp, with sunny intervals for the Midlands on Tuesday. A rather warm and humid SW flow with maxima of 19c for West Wales and 22c for the Midlands (quite an improvement in fortunes here). We are in the warm sector of the low on Tuesday night so a mild, sticky kind of Summer night, lows just 12 or 13c. It could be quite a wet night for Wales as more active fronts make their presence felt, but probably only a little light rain for the Midlands. [/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Low pressure sytems close by to the west and north through Wednesday, so an unsettled and rather cloudy day with further rain at times, some heavy for West Wales perhaps, although again the Midlands most likely only seeing small amounts. A cooler day with all the cloud about, highs between 16 and 19c, below the mid June average. The rain should have cleared by Thursday morning, with a ridge over us, so a fine sunny day, if not especially warm as we are in a relatively cool westerly airstream, maxima ranging from 17c for coastal West Wales to 20c for the Midlands. There is a chance that the rain may linger longer into Thursday towards th east, meaning the Midlands could get a wet Thursday morning. Difficulties in forecasting Friday, although ostensibly under the influence of the ridge still, a plume of warm air is crossing the near Continent, and some heavy rain may well develop over England and Wales during Friday, but impossible to say where exactly this will effect and where will remain dry. So for Friday, something to bear in mind is that it may be turning wet even if it looks promising to start with, and if cloudy and wet, then a very cool day no higher than 13c, contrasting starkly with warmth for areas that stay dry.[/size][/font] [font=arial][size=3]Next weekend, and disapponting for us in Wales, as compared to this stunningly warm and sunny weekend we are currently experiencing, we have low pressure, cloud and rain threatening instead! Not raining all the time, more a case of sunny intervals and showers type weather through the weekend, possibly with a longer spell of rain in the mix also. Saturday probably the drier day, indeed some areas escaping with a warm sunny day, more especially the Midlands, closest to high pressure over the near Continent. Sunday and more widespread showers likely.[/size][/font]

Clear periods and milder than of late night. Sunny periods and warm again today. Light to moderate N/NW breeze. Min: 9.8c @ 0600 Max: 23.3c @ 1500 Rain yesterday and today: Nil Currently: Mainly clear Temp: 12c RH: 81% Pressure: 1020mbar, steady

Clear last night. Sunny and very warm today, light N/NE breeze. Min: 7.8c @ 0600 Max: 24.8c @ 1630 Dry again yesterday and today Currently: Clear Temp: 15c RH:67% Pressure: 1023mbar, rising slowly

Nice sky there in Bedduth though!

Any showers look like staying to the south of the Midlands.

Ah Mulligans tyre...

Clear and cool last night. Sunny and very warm for early June. Light mainly SE breeze. Min: 6.0c @ 0530 Max: 22.9c @ 1530 Dry again yesterday and today Currently: Clear and cool Temp: 11.5c RH: 86% Pressure: 1023mbar rising slowly

Clear periods last night. Hazy sunny spells am, sunny pm, warm, light north/ variable breezes. Min: 6.4c @ 0230 Max: 21.4c @ 1730 Dry yesterday and today Currently: Clear, quite cool Temp: 11c RH: 83% Pressure: 1021mbar, rising slowly

I have experiences 46c during a Greek heatwave, unbearable, getting off the plane landing there felt like waliking into an oven, metal tables hot to touch in the shade, impossible to find anything cool to rest on or to keep foodstuffs cool. Thankfully that was the first day the next day it was a refreshing 31c!

Not true, warm and sunny to your west and sw too!