Airedalejoe
-
Posts
489 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Airedalejoe
-
-
I think she is a he, but that's just my opinion
It has happened before.Next week looks as clear as a dark room would look if you closed your eyes. But to repeat myself and other posters in here, that should actually make it an interesting week coming up.
She's got to be a he, and a very annoying one at that!
-
Temp 1.8 here but dew point must be way down as the odd snow flake is the dry powdery type. Lazy wind, doesn't go round you goes straight through you!!
-
Don't know if I'm looking at different models to everyone else- it looks like the cold spell is still "on" for the longer-term, evolving similarly to the December spell with a west based -ve NAO but the jet staying largely away to the south. Sunshine and snow showers for most, but perhaps a bit less cold with frontal sleet/snow events in the south (rain near the south coast) and daytime thaws in any sunshine.
A lot of south-east bias is perhaps manifesting itself here but even towards the SE it would only require a very slight eastward shift from both GFS and ECM to leave the SE fully exposed to the coldest air.
Glad someone else has the same opinion as me after viewing the models!! We're currently in a cold spell, icy on a morning some snow showers at times, the possibility that more is to come next week. It's been a cracking winter and I would happily take this every year..it's the UK folks not Quebec!!
-
I think there is every reason to be very optimistic as regards the weather for next week.
For the rest of this week it does look like the core of the cold and wintry weather will be
located over southern England, east Anglia and the southeast, although a trend for the
high to be slightly further north and west perhaps.
As for next week when looking at the northern hemisphere charts and whats going on
in the stratosphere a reasonably case could be made for everything to shift further east
with the vortex dropping down into Europe with us on the western edge and blocking to the
north and over the top of the vortex.
A north to northeasterly airflow with sub -10 850's and very wintry weather to follow.
I live in the far Northeast of England and it's snowing here! Snowline looks to be approx 130mts asl where there's quite a thick fresh covering. One look at the radar from last night up till the current time tells you where the action is taking place. I'm repeating myself but regardless of pressure being high, as long as we have the drift off the North sea then chance's of showers/longer spells of rain/snow are good.
Long way off but looking good for next week also. The winter cold here has been long and persistant and though I'll take all the snow we're sent I'm also looking forward to those first warm ray's of sun on my skin!!
-
Been at work through the night and on and off rain/hail/sleet/snow showers all night. No matter that pressure is high, as long as we have that drift off the North sea then we will always have a good chance of plenty of showers, no matter what the forecast may say!
-
Cold and grey, max 3.7C.
-
This is brilliant..........how on earth is this possible with everything pointing towards the atlantic winning...
UK Outlook for Friday 5 Feb 2010 to Sunday 14 Feb 2010:
A spell of wet and windy weather affects the UK at the end of the first week of February with a chance of south or southeasterly winds reaching gale force in the north and west. Most places will have rain for a time with this most likely to be heaviest in the north and west. There is also a chance of sleet or snow in the northeast at first. It is likely to become drier by the end of the weekend although rain or showers continue in many places. Although there is still some uncertainty, the unsettled pattern of rain or showers, possibly of sleet or snow, is likely to continue throughout the second week of the month. Temperatures likely to start around normal becoming cold or rather cold later.
Updated: 1152 on Sun 31 Jan 2010
UKMO's own charts dont support this
That's easy, the UKMO charts cover the coming week, the period referred to is for the end of this period onwards for another week or so. Currently the charts for next week point towards milder atlantic influenced air but beyond this I'm presuming indications are that we'll be drawing our air from a more continental source. All part of the ebb and flow of the weather.
-
Just had the first light snow shower, temp +1, here's hoping!
-
Grey with snow/ice grains at times. 1.9C.
-
Lunch time weather on BBC had it turning colder next week and by wednesday temperatures struggling to get above freezing point in what looked like an easterly flow...certainly different to the 06z GFS, lets hope the 12z comes on board.
-
Snowing like mad here now, fluffy stuff, temp -2.5 after a low of -8.9 and a bone chilling day.
-
OK: You tell that to the emergency services cutting people out of car accidents on the ice, in all hours and all weather. I spent enough time in the police way back in the early 1980's to attest to it being anything but a 'lighten up a touch' factor. As a certain police station / constabulary (and family) affected by the recent Cumbria flooding can well attest. This sort of weather takes lives, period, and that's hardly anything to 'lighten up a touch' about.
Severe weather is of course fascinating; that's why people are posting here. Fair play.
I'm merely suggesting that an unbalanced yahoo attitude takes things too far the other way. So, in the spirit of altruism, spare a thought for those who find these conditions anything but worth 'waiting a decade to happen'.
I see it from all sides, I am part of the emergency services currently and have spent several recent night shifts working very hard helping folk in this extreme(UK) winter weather, today was the fun side, sledging /walking with my kids.
-
But spare a thought for those profoundly (and potentially very dangerously) affected by this prolonged cold snap - not solely elderly and otherwise vulnerable people, but average 'folks' trying to earn a living / run a business / travel. Can we lower the 'yahoo' volume about this - and remember (and respect) that for many people, it's anything but 'fun' and potentially lethal.
Dear me, some of us have waited decades for this to happen, someone needs to lighten up a touch!
-
why, what is the matter with that slack spell?
If you look at the T+120 Fax it shows the 528 line on summer holiday in Iberia-the 850 thickness is on much the same plane.
Neil STOP worrying-EVEN if mild air arrived post T+120 which it will not you would still have had almost a week of bitter cold?
For anyone interested in the science of showers off the North Sea-why the Met O probably have heavy snow showers in some of their central and eastern forecasts then perhaps a trip to my last blog may help.
Its about skew-t's this week along with mean temps for this week for my area-a fair example of low level weather for parts of eastern England.
I'm on the point of updating it with comments using the 00z.
enjoy
In laymans terms, the North Sea can be an enormous rain/snow generator for my area. Can make large snowfall totals in winter with what I guess is what is known as 'lake effect' snow in North America.
In summer heavy rain can fall with high presure very close by with other areas being warm and sunny!
Annoying in the summer but fantastic at times like this. Another 8cms last night. It's a winter wonderland here.
-
From other reports it looks like my area did very well overnight, another heavy ssnow shower just finished and has topped the overnight fall up to 8cm, temp now -1.1.
-
It just gets better..another 6cm during the night and its currently -3.9!
-
Just back from a cold wet walk.
After an overnight low of -2.6 by the time we headed out the door it was up to +2.1 and given what usually happens with a wind picking up off the sea and such high temps, plus reports of rain from others, I wasn't expecting the heavy snow which started falling within minutes and a freshening and gusty NE-E wind. It snowed hard the full hour we were out and made for unpleasant walking conditions!
Temp on returning is +1 so not much additional accumulation but nice to see!
Must be fantastic with a little bit of elevation.
-
Thinest of new coverings this morning..fell at 2am. Current temp -0.4.
-
The roads were not gritted here and its difficult to drive. My mon cant go shopping without risking a slide down the hill or a car crash.
Very intense? LOL. How old are you?
I live in Newton Hall which is 3-4 miles North of Durham City and what I've seen is mostly light and occasional moderate snowfall from this band. Maybe some locations saw some heavy bursts but I think it is best that you don't generalize. County Durham is a varied place in terms of local climate and morphology. Also, Durham City came to a stand-still because the idiots forgot to properly grit the streets.
I've seen much better conditions than this snow-wise and it wasn't that long ago either. Still...its nice to see snowfall this early and I shall be going out in it tommorow at some point.
Lol. 46 thanks, yourself? I spent the last 3 hrs of my shift assisting cars stuck in snow, I was driving across the whole of the east of the county and will repeat for you again..very heavy snow. Durham did not come to a stand still because of lack of grit/salt, it was because the snow fell so fast and heavy that traffic ground to a halt...I was out working in it and I assure you one more time, very heavy snow. From your comments your observations were from your window?
Try driving along the A167 even now (salted and ploughed), still dangerous with thick snowcover which didn't occur during light to moderate snow. Enjoy your trip tomorrow.
-
I don't think the word "intense"is appropriate at all.
Light to moderate snow (mostly light in intensity) is falling in the Durham City area and I don't see much drifting.
Current amount that I've measured is 4cm. Not bad I suppose.
PP, do me a favour and just be happy!!
FOZI999, spot on, very intense snowfall. Just in from work and snow depth's around the county range between 10 and 20cm's. Durham city came to a standstill at one point, including the motorway and over the coast the A19. In the main band the snow was very heavy (not light to moderate) at Durham city, Chester-le-street, Murton area, with everything white with very poor visibility but beautiful...long time since I've seen it looking so wintry.
PP I'm not sure what you are expecting at our location but current conditions are very unusual and extreme. Have you actually ventured out and enjoyed it?
-
Its been wall to wall sunshine here in the real north east England!
-
One heavy snow shower here, temp 0.0.
-
Continuous snow here.
It has happened before.
Will 2009/2010 Be An Historic Winter?
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Quite incredible stats there Tynevalleywinter! I have not recorded daily measurements so can't compare but given my lower altitude, temps will be higher here and max depth of snow was only 31cm.
As has already been said, the remarkable thing with regard to this winter, in this neck of the woods, is the almost total absence of average never mind mild temps. I'd be surprised if this winter is matched for a long long time in this respect. Even in places like the northern US and Canada/Scandanavia, winter cold is usually interupted by periodic mild weather.
Love the snow but wouldn't be unhappy to feel some warm sun on my skin soon!