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ZK099

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    Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Worth remembering that after an SSW, it takes a couple of weeks for the tropospheric effects to take hold, as we all know. Certainly in Feb 2018, if I recall correctly it was around 2 weeks and model output only became really consistently interesting in the week before the SSW as NWP began to process what was happening. If we're saying end of December/early Jan for the warming, then we would be hoping for some really interesting output showing at around Christmas time. Until then it's best to be patient regarding the SSW. 

    The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, CreweCold said:

    The way I see it is, there's that little entrenched cold over the UK and to our east that it really isn't worth splitting hairs over.

    It's akin to two bald men arguing over a comb. 

    We might see 1-2 days of a weakish continental influence, it'll feel cold sure, but anyone expecting a major snow event will be disappointed. Some places will see snow, many will not.

    On to the end of the month...

    This week will look like a fart in a hurricane if what I think will happen, happens.

    What do you think will 'happen'?

    Far north and northeast of England - regional chat

    in Regional

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, Airedalejoe said:

    Lol, I hope that you're right, it would be an indication that our climate is changing!

    The chances of seeing what we've just seen in the next 3-5 years are almost nil.

    So soon after '09 and '10 is a surprise. What you've just seen is exceptional, 2 day's of max temps of -3 and -4 with almost gale force winds and heavy snow showers? That's not normal UK climate.

    For what it's worth I think winter 2018/19 will be severely cold. It's just a feeling really, but the last time we had solar output this low we had Feb 2009, 2009/10, then Nov/Dec 2010. Just food for thought and nothing guaranteed as usual... 

    • Like 2

    Far north and northeast of England - regional chat

    in Regional

    Posted

    Back after a long day lads. Morning was disappointing and despite every other bloody school in the county being shut, my 6th form was open- it's renowned for never closing so that was expected. Had a notice at around 10am that last period was cancelled and we were to head home at 2:40pm. Interesting for me because the teachers kept stressing to leave early and our school is known for NEVER closing due to snow. I thought that was quite fishy. I personally think the Met Office, via the council, notified the school to close early because they knew what was coming. 

    At around 11am we had some heavy snow along with thunder. Again at 3pm, very heavy snow with thunder and lightning. Visibility hugely reduced and it was a struggle to drive. Arrived at the Town Moor in Newcastle to sledge with friends and couldn't see anything. Absolute whiteout, looked like thick fog. We actually couldn't find the hill it was that heavy. Eventually did, after transversing 1.5ft drifts. At the top of the hill, I've never experienced anything like it. You could see the dark shower clouds roll in from the east. Bitter winds, drifting snow, exceptionally heavy snowfall. Absolutely unbelievable. Felt like I was in the Arctic. Temperature was probably -5 and windchill must have been well below -10. I was on my phone so took my gloves off and had to nearly hang up my hands were that cold. 

    Savour this lads because these low 500 thicknesses are extremely rare. An unbelievable experience for me and being 18, that was the best fall of snow I have ever seen. Trumped what I can remember of 2010 and 2013.

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 1
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