Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Midlander

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    622

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Midlander

  1. Midlander
    I'm simply stating that the low is further east, this will undoubtedly have implications down the line, however small. Hope you're having a pleasant evening.
  2. Midlander
    Thank you Steve for taking the time to explain the setup, you are always very insightful.
  3. Midlander
    Already further adjustments on the GFS, the low pressure to the south of Greenland is further east, this doesn't bode well.
  4. Midlander
    The GFS 12Z shows why we must remain cautious, a downgrade on the previous runs, we've been here before as well. Seems the Atlantic is still too strong.
  5. Midlander
    No sign of anything colder as we progress into December, in fact from having looked at the GFS it seems that the Atlantic will be intensifying with milder SW winds, just in time for meteorological Winter, you couldn't make it up!
  6. Midlander
    Indeed Mucka. There is no sign of blocking bringing wintry weather to the UK and the Atlantic still remains the dominant driver of our weather. Our search continues...
  7. Midlander
    I personally would urge caution when looking at such charts in the unreliable time frame. We have just gone through a period of very frustrating model watching with people sharing 'Wintry' synoptic in FL, but as we now, this was not the outcome, far from it. So I think it is just and reasonable to have such level of scepticism when viewing charts far into the future.
  8. Midlander
    I remain very sceptical, and at the moment as there are more milder options than colder options looking at the ensembles. I also worry that the high may sink down, we've been here before a few weeks ago so will not put to much confidence on it unless it gets into the reliable. Please use caution when looking at charts in FL.
  9. Midlander
    Personally I think we are clutching at straws, as Nick commented earlier the agreement for a pressure fall and temperature rise is now much better supported and unfortunate outcome but is the reality.
  10. Midlander
    Indeed so Frosty. Doubt this west based -NAO will give us any favours.
  11. Midlander
    I think now the best thing I can hope for is temps just to be average. If I don't see temperatures reach double digits then I'll be rather pleased. Would prefer something much colder put GFS ensembles nor the ECMWF show that.
  12. Midlander
    We haven't vanished at all, there really isn't anything to say no as the outcome is becoming ever clearer. I don't think people can say there is a new 'trend' just by looking at one model run from one particular model. The ICON 12Z could simply revert back to the ICON 0Z. There is currently no consistent trend.
  13. Midlander
    This is exactly how I feel as well, I despise milder conditions but that is where we're heading to at the moment. Even faux cold conditions like frost and fog looks to be at a minimum as well. If the GFS and ECMWF shows this, then what hope is left for cold lovers?
  14. Midlander
    According to Frosty it has been clear for a few days now. All model output today has favoured on balance milder conditions, unfortunately. Even the UKMO the supposed model to look closely at in these situations has also trended that way. I wish there was something positive from the models today but there isn't.
  15. Midlander
    Quite clear that the Atlantic will win the battle with relatively little difficulty.
  16. Midlander
    Sleet to Snow in Edgbaston. Snowflakes clearly visible, this prevents a snowless November and and makes it a total of 2 days of snowfall so far this Winter season.
  17. Midlander
    Hello 'cold is my thing' but a southern shift on the 12Z doesn't mean this is a new trend, it could quite possible move even further north on the 18Z. Have to say the Atlantic does seem to be more influential than it has been in the past few weeks.
  18. Midlander
    I have a bad feeling about this, this blocking isn’t doing us any favours, seems like I need to get the BBQ out!
  19. Midlander
    Wondered why there was a lack of comments regarding the ECMWF, this is why a mild south westerly wind, no sign of cold or snow; the low to the south west is overpowering the block.
  20. Midlander
    I concur as well, a perfect example of how being in a -NAO isn't the 'be all and end all' when it comes to cold and snowy conditions in the UK. I would actually say, such conditions are more inclement then the conditions we were experiencing in a +NAO.
  21. Midlander
    Depressing, just when you might think the weather models may change course we get a dose of reality from none other than the FV3.
  22. Midlander
    Indeed so Cameron, I suppose model interpretations are to some extent subjective especially when considering what will occur after the range of a model. Also important to remember the bias that people hold, for e.g, those wanting cold will of course be more willing to share models and runs which show there desire, not necessarily be as keen to share and comment on milder runs, this is why often when cold isn't being forecast on the main models people will look to using other models.
  23. Midlander
    Point taken...although that is hardly a raging north easterly bringing disruptive snow and cold.
  24. Midlander
    I would concur everything a bit further north but within the margin of area. I suppose that is a good and bad thing as it will bring in a more southerly flow but the heights are further north which I would have thought reduces or delays the risk of them draining south. Still a far cry from the charts we were seeing a few days ago, would call the 18Z virtually the same as the 12Z...
  25. Midlander
    Unfortunately in the medium time frame the low to the south west becomes the main driver introducing much milder temperatures, which is a real shame given how there are colder 850s pooling to the north.
×
×
  • Create New...