Midlander

Morning all, Arpege is the 'best' for snowfall in the West Midlands, though once again another eastwards shift would be preferable. I also think the Warnings may well be updated today and hopefully they may extend NE a little more to cover the West Midlands Conurbation...does anyone else think the Met Office will update there warnings today?

Agree, maybe more snow events, or potential snow/mixed precip events.

Well done for sticking up to the southerners:)

Actually I feel even if the precip doesn't get as far north as the Midlands, thn maybe there will be a chance for another band which is far more intense/vigorous to move up and deliever some potential snow. I actually don't feel too bad.

Though the precip is not moving as far north into the Midlands, will be interesting to see what happens next, maybe another more active band could push up later in the weekend...

By the way Weirpig, is that based on an easterly wind or more north easterly?

Well hopefully after Tuesday's low was further north, this actually ends up further south and into the Midlands.

Hopefully when the winds change to more of an easterly, we should have a better chance.

One run of one model - ECMWF 12Z Snow Depth, looks okay a slight eastwards shift would be favourable. This would hopefully bring the heavier stuff from Wales:)

Hi all here in Aldridge, we did see some showers today. I'm actually the most optimistic I've been all week regarding Thursday Night/Friday. Though I'm not in the Amber I think it is possible that the Amber could be expanded further ENE to cover the West Midlands. Now, I think it's more important to see an eastwards shift in the low, rather than a N/S shift. I know London Snow Dreamer and London Snow Watch also think that the area could be expanded. After todays Amber was cancelled and moved north I'm not too worried at all and normally I'm very pessimistic.

Morning all, the Met Office have just updated Fridays Yellow Warning by extending into Saturday.

I’ve checked the radar but can’t quite determine whether the low is moving any further south, was just wondering if anyone could help.

Hello, could anybody please tell me the direction the low is travelling in please. Is the low heading more south or more west; thanks. If possible could you give the direction as a compass heading.

Personally trust the AROME the most, then Arpege.

Thats okay, would just like to see much heavier precip...

Thanks:)

How heavy, we've got some here, but it is very light, like what we have been seeing for most of the day.

I think if you want the streamer currently in the East Mids, then a change of wind to an easterly would be preferable, however, if you would rather have a chance of seeing that polar low then a north/north easterly would be preferable. I personally would rather have the chance of seeing the low push further south.

Fingers crossed! We can also hope for a larger, heavier band of precip to also increase our chances.

I did see some graupel today, though it was verly light/light. This season to date I have seen 17 days of snowfall, with 15 days of settling snow. The total accumulated snowfall is somewhere in the region of 25-30cm, though I'm not 100% sure. In terms of frost we have seen 18 days of frost, with 14 days of ground and air frost. How does that compare to 2016/17? Well at the moment we have improved on last years snow total of 10 days, but surprisingly we are still approx 14 days short of frosts.

Just like to say hello to all my fellow Midlanders. I am new to Netweather. I hope that the predicted 'polar low' will be further south then currently forecast. I must admit I was really disappointed to see the Amber warning cancelled here. Just a case of looking at the radar I

I believe the wind direction is likely to shift from a North Easterly to more of a Easterly; this will change distribution.

Hi all, to my surprise I found these snow depths, when 850's seem to be not conducive for snow.