ianmm94
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Haven't we seen this before, where all models show a cold spell incoming, drop the idea, then bring it back closer to the time? -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The models are all over the place at the moment, which is usually a better sign for us than the usual +NAO winters with a euro high. Look at the NH view on the 12z compared to the 18, it's completely different in the latter stages which shows the volatility that's going on at the moment -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Here come the doom and gloom posts again -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
ianmm94 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just need that Russian high on the parallel run to disappear next -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
ianmm94 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Both GFS's are slowly heading towards scandi heights from what i'm seeing -
Won't happen, GFS blowing up that low pressure as it always likes to do
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Is the GFS about to try throw up a scandi high?
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Looks good with that cold pool building over Western Russia
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GFSP blowing that low up in a true GFS fashion, but I like what it's doing further east with the Russian high. It's brought it further north and cut off the warm flow from the south, allowing the cold air to flow around the south of it and towards Europe
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
ianmm94 replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
ianmm94 replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you've spent enough time on here, you'd know not to pay attention to weather apps -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
ianmm94 replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
what heights? two low pressures are heading right towards Iberia -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
ianmm94 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
January hasn't even happened yet! We're getting some of the best winter charts for years coming out. yet people are still acting all doom and gloom -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
ianmm94 replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
why not? the GFS was the first one to call the pattern change -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look at that piece of PV sliding down the east coast of greenland, heading towards the trough of low pressure over the UK... -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A large high pressure with light winds circling from the north west, it would be cold under that so I doubt it -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
High pressure over eastern Canada looks a lot better on this run -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The only bad place this run is for is the western coast of the USA, barely any rain at all forecasted for the next two weeks if it comes off. At least for us it's showing high pressure in place and low heights down across Iberia and Europe. The building blocks there for something spectacular to happen. Patience is a virtue -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
ianmm94 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hope that's sarcasm -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.
ianmm94 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
easterly? I think you're reading the chart wrong