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Chertseystreamer79

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Everything posted by Chertseystreamer79

  1. But when he talked about plymouth and the temp anomaly he said there were still quite a lot of members that suggested cold would not shift that much as the low came in. This northerly could be quite a power house maybe???
  2. Same ecm that has missed this south east cold pool entirely! Let's see as ever where is sits in the ensembles.
  3. Absolutely . Model watching this time around has been everything you mentioned. All green lights across models and meto updates and now, somehow...grrrrrrrrrrrr!!!!! Even possible streamer for my location looks a bit south of here in the NE wind and I live right next to the bloody Thames!
  4. Ahhh finally the long range on the meto app! Maybe to tell us how locked in we are for the next month!
  5. Please someone spot the breakdown...I'm 2 quotes off a full house!
  6. But who the hell wants that progession!!! If ecm follows ukmo how confident would we be then?
  7. Same old morning runs... That depth of cold is gonna prove a problem for any model to break down. Happy advent!
  8. Do they mean as it slips away south the back edge is more likely snow (ne region), there for as that slips away more southen areas of the warning at more risk??
  9. And the slip south begins in Ernest. Beautiful ecm but experience tells me to get the rainfall radar out for this one. Gotta be something somewhere though right???
  10. Banger... This will not be resolved until I see it on a rainfall radar...so many variants involved. Fingers crossed for something somewhere!
  11. That low has got 6 days left before it hits...probably southern France by then. General theme that they slip south isn't it?? I'm no expert...what's in play to make it not drift south or elongate?
  12. After EACH fall....a line I've not seen used here ever!!! I'd take 1 fall and a melt tbh! Next week has all sorts of chances. Couple more days to go to firm up on those though. UKMO Breakfast special please.
  13. I dunno...gfs is so good, cold, snowy, and backed by cold ensemble suit, mean and control.... BUT.... Is it just 24 hours behind what the ecm has seen... I'm hoping and praying as having just come back from lapland with the wife and kids we are missing the snows beauty! Everything crossed...
  14. Im just loving the fact that we are talking about where SNOW might fall. Great day so far on the models...pub run to come but overall trend looks well stabalized with good consistency and some fine tuned synoptics.
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