Sneachtastorm
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Posts posted by Sneachtastorm
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4 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Looks like we might have to throw the towel in on any decent cold spell to end winter.
The UKMO couldn’t even verify at T96 hrs this morning and the GFS brings back a rampant PV in by day 8.
Even by some of the easterly debacles this one given the biggest zonal reversal in history re the strat looks like currently delivering zip.
Although the models have been very jumpy they now seemed to have jumped onto the worst solution.
Barring some miracle on the ECM it looks like the end of the road for this winter.
Agree Nick. The irony is this SSW may have even made us milder by getting rid of the constant pm shots from the West and North West.
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Wasn't looking great even before this run, like I said when we're using ICON as an example it's just desperate times. The GFS gets a right old rollicking it would appear it was more on the money the UKMO.
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Chance of seeing the Northern Lights tonight.
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Ice warning from 7pm
Chief Forecaster's assessment
Frequent showers will affect Northern Ireland during Thursday, falling as sleet and snow at times with some slight accumulations possible above 200 m. These showers will become less frequent and fall increasingly as rain overnight into Friday. Surface temperatures are expected to fall widely below freezing on Thursday evening across Northern Ireland with ice then forming. With showers continuing to affect Northern Ireland, particularly western parts, some wash off is also possible.
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Snowing again. Roads were bad this morning, car was in the ditch on one of the back roads that was white. No warning from met Éireann.
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Snowing heavily and white outside.
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Chief Forecaster's assessment
Surface temperatures are expected to fall overnight into Thursday with showers, falling as a mixture of sleet and snow at times, pushing eastwards across Northern Ireland during the night. Ice is expected to form on some untreated surfaces and with the showers some wash off of treatment is possible, particularly in northwestern parts.
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One snow flurry here today about 1 hour ago. Still patchy snow cover even with last night's rain. Modest elevation still very white.
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Best of luck to those in the East, met office update looks good for you. Dry with me and radar looks dead to the west. On that note, time for zeds. I'm wrecked lamppost watching ha.
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21 minutes ago, booferking said:
Can't see it myself going by radar it's cleared parts of Donegal already.
Met office automated forecast shows constant precipitation in West Tyrone until 5am. That's wrong unless there's another band in coming.
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Can't see it happening for me tonight. Maybe better luck further East.
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Radar shows snow overhead but it's just plain old rain.
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Belmullet on the west coast coldest met eireann station at 1c. I don't think I ever seen it as the Coldest location in my life. Gfs had it to be 5c at 10pm, can't see what the projection was for 9 but seems colder earlier that thought. Good sign.
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Big difference for 5 minutes. Maybe a glitch?
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3 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
I can still see it.
They had taken it down. Looks the same to me with just a new issued at time. The snow ice warning is gone tho. That advisory still mentions snow and possible accumulations tho.
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Met Éireann dropped their warning. New one on the way or it's gone pants.
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STATUS YELLOW
Snow-ice Warning for IrelandAir temperatures will fall to freezing or below later tonight and early tomorrow morning, with widespread frost and ice on untreated surfaces. Scattered wintry showers also, these mainly in west Ulster, Connacht and west Munster.
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21 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
Ah right. Changed again then. Hard to forecast obviously.
Aye. Marginal, could be great, could be wet. Bit of height will help you.
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3 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
Where is this warning on met eireann for west ulster and north Connacht. I can’t see it anywhere? Maybe it’s the hangover.
STATUS YELLOW
Weather Advisory for IrelandA spell of wet and windy weather, with thundery downpours, will sweep eastwards over the country during Monday evening and night. Gusts between 90 and 110km/h will occur in Atlantic, southern and later eastern coastal fringes for a time. Some accumulations of snow are possible during the period also.
Issued:Monday 12 February 2018 11:00
Valid:Monday 12 February 2018 18:00 to Tuesday 13 February 2018 06:00
Edit - that is updated just removed west ulster North Connacht. More country wide I'd guess
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11 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
I imagine it won’t be long until meto put another warning for tonight and tomorrow be the usual 5-10 cms high ground and a sleety 1-2 cm possible low ground. Just to cover their backs. The usual really.
Just checked. You're right lol
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26 minutes ago, bobbarley said:
Tbh northerlies are awful imby. Wind off the sea gives rain here on the coast and everywhere else gets snow. Westerlies so much better, I’ve lost count of the number of days with lying snow here this year. Always marginal though!
Seen reports of snow on the immediate West Coast this weekend. Unusual for pretty much a Westerly.
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2 inches outside now and snowing again.
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17 minutes ago, ronan said:
Any of these that have been posted recently seem way off the mark?
Usually it shows wonderland charts like that for 4 5 days out. Then downgrades. It is in line with Met Eireann's warning with West Ulster and North Connacht worst hit. I don't think it will be that bad but you never know ha
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
You're on the coast though aren't you? I'm inland low elevation and had most snow since 2010 this year.