Sneachtastorm
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Posts posted by Sneachtastorm
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Fair enough. I meant it had changed for the centre to go through Scotland but it went through Ireland and the models backtracked closer to the time . The East did better overall on the Monday night Tuesday snow, we did better on the Wednesday . Anyway I hope it's a good week for everyone.
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49 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
it was the 18Z that started to smell the coffee in the last breakdown after the last boom charts
And it was wrong, because it reverted back to what it originally showed and that's what transpired.
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Remember the switches before the last cold spell, looked great initially then went crap for a couple of days then upgraded closer to the time with the low pressure system centre going south of us instead of to the North. My point is it will chop and change a lot. We have cold to the west and the east so let's give it a couple of days and see where we're at.
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2 hours ago, January Snowstorm said:
It's a completely different set up to 2010.
Back then we had constant strong Northeast to East winds which drove showers well inland. Anyone who knows a bit about forecasting knows that under col conditions like next week dry and bitter bitter cold is the former horse.
So different to 2010 BUT because of the encroaching atlantic it COULD deliver as much fun!!
The start of the second cold spell in 2010 was result of a straight Northerly thanks to a Greenland high.
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If that front happens to stall, lucky spots could get pasted. Let's hope for a good ECM.
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I took a different route home because of traffic and was surprised to see a fair bit of snow at the sides of the road. Highest point on road is 235m
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16 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:
I will take both please. Win win for me
I think ECM would be a lot drier so worse for snow.
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GFS has - 10 uppers over us from the West. ECM mostly has us below - 7,-8 on the extreme east coast at times. I'd take the GFS.
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So the GFS pushes the cold from west further east than last night and the ECM does the opposite, pushes the cold air further west.
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GFS-Not as frigid in the SE longevity wise as previous run. The Western beast -8 to -11 uppers cross NW for a fair old while.
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1 hour ago, tight isobar said:
Iso deffs-..never ending and comparable to most midd-north latt ...?
Gradients are cold where ever you turn your head!!!!
What does the purple area mean?
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Hail snow mix
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I'm alot closer to the Atlantic so I never have to worry about precipitation, it's just what it falls as is the worry ha
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Automated forecast shows sleet at 3am, then snow every hour until 10am. I know don't take much notice but whenever it has shown snow like that hour after hour so close to the time has always delivered.
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Wouldn't say no to this -10 uppers NW
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5 hours ago, Neiller22 said:
Better than chasing the easterly though!
Like dogs chasing their tails lol
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7 minutes ago, Weegaz said:
If this was Oct or start of nov tomorrows snow potentional would have this forum alight.
Don’t expect much, if any, but good to see all the same, a bit of interest may gather around the radar mid morning.
Automated MetO showing heavy snow at my location for 3 hrs from 11am.....I know the crack with them, but interesting all the same
Aye defo or if we hadn't had a flake yet this winter. Met Éireann snow warning out now too for Northern counties. Mentions especially over high ground as well.
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I'd love a proper Northerly blast before winters out. I'll be happy with these NW all the same ha. Chance of snow again on Saturday.
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32 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:
11c ish -
ECM / UKMO broadly similar with a more aggressive low pressure around 144-168 taking a slightly different direction to the GFS I highlighted - although depending on the rushing could be similar by 192-
S
Is 11c a general rule? Is there a difference between North and South or pretty similar?
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Latest GFS looks good for snow on Wednesday
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Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Rain clearing early Monday then colder with sunny intervals and showers, wintry high ground. Bright start on Tuesday then rain, hill snow later. Showers on Wednesday, turning increasingly wintry.
Updated: 14:28 on Sat 27 Jan 2018 GMT
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Going to be very mild this weekend. Reckon it'll take the last of it with it.
Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Latest GFS coldest uppers push away East quicker but second reload is closer to our shores earlier than previous run.