WalsallWeather123
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
BBC video forecast look spot on. Front is dying before it reaches here -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
What does everyone think. Will the ppn make it across the midlands or fizzle out? If so, how heavy will any snow be? -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
You're probably in the best location toget some snow before it possibly fizzles out -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
GFS 12z shows the weather front stalling and holding out in the midands for longer compared to the 6z and other models. Snow for up to 12 hours, from 12:00 to 00:00 over the West Midlands and 9 hours over eastern parts. Unlikely to hold out for that long, expect the preciptation to fizzle out as other models are showing. -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
With widespread -6 uppers on the Arpege, even if the precipitation does make in inland, parts of Wales and the Midlands may not even see it fall as snow. Probably sleet maybe even rain if these uppers play out -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I think we'll get a few flurries. Nothing substantial. You've probably got the best chance in the midlands being further north and east. -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not much accumulating snow expected by the ICON. A few flurries expected inland on Tuesday but not amounting to anything -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS not too far away from Arpege and Icon in regards to Tuesdays weather front. All 3 make it inland towards the midlands. GFS slightly more progressive but not by much -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think in the coming couple of days the GFS will come towards the Arpege and Icon with the precipitation dying before it even reaches wales on Tuesday -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
WalsallWeather123 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So you think I'm right then. Has been a huge backtrack. No major snow event and mild temps and only rain on Thursday -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
WalsallWeather123 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well my timing was a bit off but a huge backtrack by the models compared to a couple of days ago -
Model output discussion - mid January
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Slight differences in GFS vs ECM. ECM more prolonged cold whereas GFS has intermittent cold spells. Which one will win out?- 2,804 replies
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
WalsallWeather123 replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Had a quick look at the radar. I reckon northern and eastern parts, probably around Stoke to Nottingham/Leicester will see snow showers moving in around 20:00 and then areas further south will see some snow/sleet/rain rain moving in around 23:00 -
Model output discussion - mid January
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At T162 on the GFS the uppers are -10 which is cold enough. But then at 192 they're at 0 across a large part of the UK. Just stating the facts. A prolonged cold spell looks unlikely. Interchangeable conditions between cold and mild looks likely- 2,804 replies
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Model output discussion - mid January
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs 12z shows snow mainly over high ground and in north east on Saturday. Rain and maybe sleet at lower levels- 2,804 replies
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
WalsallWeather123 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I have looked at the models lol. And I have got opinions off other people lol. I fly out of the country on Saturday otherwise I couldn't care less what happens. To me the models show marginal conditions and with I believe further downgrades to come, it will be rain on this battleground event on Saturday. Anyway, most people think I'm chatting bubbles and just arguing for the sake of it. Like I said wait 24 hours -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
WalsallWeather123 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Forget that I quoted that chart. Just generally talking about -8 uppers meaning marginal conditions. Not guaranteed a widespread snow event -
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
WalsallWeather123 replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Recently in Walsall we had rain all night, can't remember the date but in December. However South Birmingham had a good dumping of snow. Even with -8 uppers and heavy snow forecast all night. This is why I'm saying it's very marginal. We have the possibility of cold air streaming in from the west which isn't know for snowy conditions -
Model output discussion - mid January
WalsallWeather123 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-8 uppers aren't even that cold. 3 degrees for lower ground. Marginal for snow- 2,804 replies
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