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WalsallWeather123

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Everything posted by WalsallWeather123

  1. WalsallWeather123
    Precipitation charts from GFS at T150, ICON at T147 and GEM at T150. Widespread snow on Tuesday pretty much a given.
  2. WalsallWeather123
    ARPEGE still very stubborn on the position of high pressure
  3. WalsallWeather123
    Uppers on ICON at T162 are incredible. Widespread -18
  4. WalsallWeather123
    Very unlikely to verify. HP is much further north compared to ECM, UKMO and ICON. And the high is weakend far to easily. All other models show HP in the north maintaining for far longer.
  5. WalsallWeather123
    ARPEGE at T114 the most south HP out of all models.
  6. WalsallWeather123
    Great chart at T144. Brings widespread cold and incoming snow showers. Would prefer HP a tad more north but lots of small changes will happen closer to the time. Proves GFS OP was an outlier
  7. WalsallWeather123
    ECM vs GFS at T120. Obvious difference in heights. Much better from ECM than GFS. If ECM could be a tad higher than the 0Z at T144 would be even better
  8. WalsallWeather123
    GFS 12Z vs ECM 12 at T96. HP looks like it will be further south on the ECM. Much better for a prolonged colder spell
  9. WalsallWeather123
    GEFS mean extremely snowy between T204 and T234
  10. WalsallWeather123
    Very little difference in GEFS 12z mean vs 6z at T162. OP clearly too far north
  11. WalsallWeather123
    This is the ideal chart from CMA- Chinese model. Perfectly positioned HP equalling cold uppers and low pressure systems bringing an epic snow event.
  12. WalsallWeather123
    GFS OP very different from ECM, ICON and UKMO. Big northwards correction with goes against the other models in which the high moved slighly southwards. Wait for the mean as OP could be an outlier before coming to a judgement. Southwards correction looks a trend and I think most the cold air will end in France and we'll end up with HP with a dry easterly. Nothing too cold or drastic.
  13. WalsallWeather123
    Colder air much further north due to position of high on GFS 12z vs 6z.
  14. WalsallWeather123
    Just catching up on the models. For me, the ICON 0z is perfection for snow lovers. At T162 you have minimum -8 uppers with a low moving across the country bringing widespread heavy snowfall. Then at T174 the entire country is draped with -16 uppers. The angle of attack is perfect to tap into bitter air from siberia. Then at T180 further precipation moves westwards from the North Sea. WIth -16 uppers it would be powdery snow which would accumulate very quickly. The high perfectly positioned in the north
  15. WalsallWeather123
    Think I might have to eat my own words. If models came off, countrywide snow lol. However as always caution is needed until closer to the time
  16. WalsallWeather123
    Inter run variations were always inenvitable. Yes the GFS 18z is messier, yes there is a shortwave which may delay the cold slightly but when the cold comes it will be bitter, sub zero countrywide. And messier may not mean as cold but is certainly can equal more snow which I'm sure is what most people want. No-one wants the forbidden 'Dry Easterly'.
  17. WalsallWeather123
    Countrywide snow event, not one stone is left unturned, on GEFS mean for 12 hours at T168.
  18. WalsallWeather123
    Big difference in position of the high at T222. Still very cold but not as snowy
  19. WalsallWeather123
    Thursday-Friday I reckon. BBC like to be very cautious and only give a couple days notice
  20. WalsallWeather123
    Snow depth chart for GFS in cm
  21. WalsallWeather123
    Widespread -16 uppers on CFS with snow showers
  22. WalsallWeather123
    Retrogression to Greenland at T240 which brings North/North Easterly winds. Best possible scenario for prolonged cold.
  23. WalsallWeather123
    ECM looking better at T72. Heights futher north vs ECM 0z albeit not at the same timeframe.
  24. WalsallWeather123
    Non-Stop Countrywide snow from T156 to T240 on GEFS mean
  25. WalsallWeather123
    Channel low at T222 which would bring heavy snow to southern parts of the UK
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