Arrows1986
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Posts posted by Arrows1986
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4 minutes ago, Daniel* said:
You don’t need to be Einstein to know that these synoptics can generate significant snowfall in SE.. -10C uppers brisk ENE wind in southeastern parts forget PPN charts they’re useless especially with convection.
That right there would provide a snow train to the east and se
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I would imagine that the high pressure is more than likely going to push sustained cold into Europe giving France and Germany a good seeing to. Im hoping im wrong.
Best scenario would surely be for a decent high pressure to build NE pushing decent cold towards us and lock it in. Problem is everyone is referring to 2005 2013 but to put that into perspective we're talking 16 years and 8 years ago respectively. I want to be so wrong but I can see a regression of this cold snap as the days go on. We keep speaking about 7 or 10 days time frame. This never goes down to 5 or 4 days ahead.
I think come 3 days time or so we're going to know where we stand
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57 minutes ago, Paul said:
It wasn't aimed at you specifically and not about talking about cold or not. I was just making the observation that very often when it comes to cold spells there's often a lot of 'worry' from some people who focus on when they're going to end, sometimes before they've even begun and in this case waaay before the potential upcoming one has begun.
I dont really comment on here too often as I'm a novice but have observed for many years. Its fascinating reading other enthusaists take on things. Amazing the knowledge you guys and girls have tbh. Its the British weather which tbf will change closer to the time. However, why not enjoy the models and outputs. I think your right there's always the thought of if it will happen and when will it end. I bet that 99% of people will be happy for a week of proper cold and snow. Any longer than everyone will moan at the problems itll cause.
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1 minute ago, Tim Bland said:
GEM looks good...
That nasty low doent lol prob push it all away lol
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The met/bbc must have side backsides sitting on the fence constantly. And they are always so vague.
I remember Jan 2014 I was In new York. Forecast said heavy snow at 1am for hrsmmnearvebough dead on 1 heavy snow. They are so much more accurate
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Haven't posted for a long time as dont really have any expertise to offer. However, my little boy is a year and a half and hasn't really seen any decent snow. I keep reading about SSW, but the question is what influence will this realistically have? A cold but dry outlook or alot of PPN
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Had to drive through town..awful conditions i almost lost it several times..really bad
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fingers crossed it carries on growing and extending our way
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I have to agree...i was driving at 50mph max on the a12 yesterday for someone to fly past at atleast 70. Snow on the ground and loads coming down. Most people and i stress most do drive to the conditions but I'd hate to read about a child getting mowed down by a muppet.
My daughters school was open today..late registration..roads were mental around her school..wind blowing a gale...snowing...and people almost falling over..yet theyve only decided to close an hour early...after the snows cleared. Why dont they just say the rest of the week off to save people driving in it.
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29 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:
Mines a 32 mile round trip, so very glad it’s closed, A12 drifted snow in places on my route, so wouldn’t bother even if they said it was open
She didnt go yesterday as couldnt get out of street but now snowing heavy..kce everywhere and radar saying strong ppn
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10 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:
Very windy this morning, those gusts are not pleasant. So is the radar not quite right then? Because it looks like snow coming up from the south west!? I was going to attempt to clear the paths around my bungalow but if there’s more coming, I’m staying warm inside
and not wasting my time. At least schools had sense to stay closed today, roads are treacherous still even though no snow has come down since early evening yesterday but snow drifts blocking even the main roads.
My daughter school is open again..same as yesterday
15 mile round trip for me...headteachers are heartless
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The ppn in the north sea is turning nw..and gaining strength. The other blob seems to be pushing further north. And east than expected
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15 minutes ago, MKMartin said:
mm would be rain, with snow it is generally 8-10 times more iirc so it is predicting close to 20cm
That maybe the case. I was confirming that on the model/forecast 1992 was mentioning was infact in mm not cm. If you think the general rule is x10 then all power to you. However, i think you'v got more chance of me playing upfront for town than that happening...come to think of it i think most people could do better than who we'v got atm. I hope im wrong though and we do get those amounts
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33 minutes ago, geg1992 said:
Netweather showing 19cm of snow from 2100-0000 tonight - surely can't be right?!?!
it's 19.6 mm, so basically just under an inch
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Well uts -6 outside here..very bitter. And people are right. More showers..beefy ones are developing. Its very hit and miss which we knew it would be. Its not a single front carrying lots of snow.
I havent seen the latest forcast but i suspect itll be more of the same tbh. Still exceptional for the end of feb
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Big sell off the coast heading down through suffolk shortly. Looks rather intense
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Very heavy snow in Ipswich ?
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31 minutes ago, masked_firefly said:
I’m super excited!.
my son is as well, hopefully this is going to be a lovely little week of weather. He’s 7 so he will remember this :).
Im secretly hoping for a snow day for him tomorrow!. I know I can hope.
Im Kesgrave Just outside Ipswich BTW!.
Im pinewood so hoping my 6 year old gets snowed off this week. About time we built a snowman
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16 minutes ago, Carl Ballantyne said:
Hiya Masked_firefly, I hope we get something decent out of this cold spell, I expect we will.
Ive lived in kesgrave for two years, beautiful place ??
Im pinewood so not too far
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52 minutes ago, exodus said:
North Essex reporting in. Not expecting much at all here but looking forward to the next few days to see how others get on.
Are you crazy..youll definately get a fair amount
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Can someone explain dewpoints..
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To be fair...wouldnt 5 days of really cold temps and lots of snow be enough. Who seriously wants weeks of subzero temps? Itd be a pain to commute..cost you more in enerby bills, kill lots of vulnerable people. In reality we have a good few days of historic temps and heavy snow..lets just enjoy it.
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I think we should watch bbc weather on bbc1 to follow the news..it will be scary..
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Lady on bbc weather said "i would keep checking the weather as things could get very interesting" starting to get excited at the bbc..at last lol
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and not wasting my time. At least schools had sense to stay closed today, roads are treacherous still even though no snow has come down since early evening yesterday but snow drifts blocking even the main roads.
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
10 days is FI but you're right..it won't come off likes this..let people have their fun though!
When can we expect your analysis?