[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

I know I shouldnt mention snow depths but its annoying when all i see is a few inches forecast. I mean its great having really cold weather BUT tbh if it meant cold weather and no snow I'd rather have the spring. Kill joy maybe but I have family coming from california tomorrow, they never see snow, I want them to see the UK come to a halt with a few inches.

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

Few hours quicker but seems to have stuck at the critical period re the shortwave 

I wouldnt worry too much..im sure with the energy we have from w to e itll suck the -15 over. I noticed -20 looks more organised and larger on this run

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

Looks like an upgrade so far...more intense cold pool edging closer conpared to 06z. And a tad sooner too...

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

Im not sure about the warning thats been put out from this site. 5 to 10cm thats like half an in to 4 inches..really?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

16 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

I would certainly subscribe to that echo image above from @kold weather however based on the instability I expect to see the first line of attack about 8-10pm sun - along the estuary then gradually progress from there

hoping for 2-3cm before Dawn monday so I can call off the school run !

Cm?

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

10 minutes ago, tinybill said:

iknow  its  fantasy world

Looks like we're a mile or two apart.  Im hoping we get smacked.. the models are singing in harmony. Ecm is a corker

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

12z ICON snow predictions

Looks like im going to wake up to several inches for once here in sunny east suffolk. 10miles from sea btw. I think the next two days are crucial to get a real idea of snow potential. So happy that the models are so consistent which is a rare given our last few winters

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

How about ipswich suffolk. Its frustrating the bbc weather shows dry and cold..random

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

13 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

The whole of UK will see snow a lot of snow everyone happy with this run..

I'm liking the look of that low near the channel, surely that would draw cold air further south if it sinks ? or am I reading this completely wrong

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

The models dont always take into account snow amounts direction etc. The instability over the sea will increase convection..thus..showers

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

To be fair..you wont get a perfect setup in every single run on every single model. 

From what i can see it looks to me like sustained cold, awful temps, bitter biting winds too...and sustained snowfall pushing in from the north sea. If youre cornwall, devon etc then youll feel the pinch. If youre along the eastern counties and SE you'll certainly know about it. At last..

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

10 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

McDonald's don't have any chickens to count at the moment

Anyway, the models are firming up on a freeze next week which could last well into march hopefully!..fingers crossed the 18z sends us to bed with smiles on our faces too.

Isnt it kfc? ? either way there will be downgrades and upgrades. This winter has been fascinating model watching. 

 

We'v done pretty well in Ipswich but it would be nice to get some decent snowfall and a 2012-13 event ?

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

Through your experiences what are the odds of a set up like this folding...or are the symnoptics that good that itll take alot for it to all go ...s up?

[Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?]

Hey. "New" to here. Used to be a member but took a few years out. Ive been reading this forum for the last year. 

Agter viewing the models, ecm is looking great. I know we'v had lots of disappointing events this winter but this one is looking awesome.

The blocking is solid, progression from east to west is consistent with the models so theres a good shot. 

Steve m, nick f...love reading your posts as ever, and ontop of your reassuing words Itv weather even suggested next weeks a corker..and tbh for them to mention 5 days in advance let alonr next week is v rare so good signs.