BlastFromThePastbuzz

Was a great day today

Well the point is, we were to be sub zero by day with the GFS a couple of days ago -2 for most. That's pushed back and now nowhere is FC to see it that cold by day with the GFS. I didn't say it was gospel but certainly doesn't look as cold as it was. Cold and dry nothing exceptional.

6z coldest temperature maxes of 3 to 5c, 2 to 5c for the next 8 days. 1c in the far east by day 9. A few days back it was showing sub zero by day Monday. With 2 to 5c you won't see much surviving by day this time of the year. I agree with Sparky re cold and dry some wintry showers in East.

Uppers aren't everything. Second cold spell in 2010 from the Northerly Castlederg had temperatures of -5 or below continuously for 187 hours, that's almost 8 full days. 6 of those nights sub -15, a 7th time during the last evening of cold spell at 7pm, a low of -18.7,a daily maximum of -11. Another location near hand beat it with a maximum of -11.3. This won't come close to that anywhere, it was most extreme in Castlederg, not sure what all the values were further east but nothing remotely like that. Also yr weather which uses the ECM model doesn't show anything extreme until day 10, pushed back that the previous ECM run. Dublin maximums for next week with ECM Monday 3c Tuesday 4c Wednesday 2c Thursday-2 Belfast 4c,5c,2c,-2 for the same days. So we're waiting until day 10 before we see anything extreme. I think people are getting carried away, yes other models look better but until ECM brings it in closer range I'd urge caution, day 10. The Western 2 thirds of the country look bone dry as well, unless a front from the Atlantic comes in. So much hype for this because areas that don't see much snow, will see snow. This won't be anything remotely like 2010.