[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, NewEra21 said:

Literally like a river outside, roads flooded and puddles everywhere. Even if this cold spell doesn't bring me any snow, at least there will finally be a chance for it to dry up!!

more likely to ice up than dry up

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Pretty Boring here atm expecting the crashing soon hopefully

13z 8.2c

14z 7.5c

15z 6.4

16z 6.3c

17z 6.2c

18z 6.3

19z 6.1

Pretty Meh

will be interesting to see if the MetO suggestion of 30cm for NW Kent brings us into play for a similar scenario here, Paul

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just now, Djdazzle said:

True - but they are pros!

i wouldn't go that far

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

7 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

I think the beeb do this because they WANT it to be!!!

I think that extends to these forums too. We'd all prefer to see what we want to see, especially with regards snow totals and can be dismissive of other data if it's not what we want to see.

That's human nature

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

11 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

SE Kent

That would be good for Kent and a large part of Essex

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

9 minutes ago, Mr_Pessimistic said:

Yes, excellent thanks, you?  (I won the lottery yesterday - but not interested in that, just want some snow.)

on a Thursday ?  I'll make sure i enter next week . . .

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Just now, TomSE12 said:

For those Members, from Mid-Kent down to East Sussex, that depiction of Snowfall amounts on a N.E. flow, has the Mid-Kent Streamer written all over it: 

Regards,

Tom.  

Fortunately for most, it's from some unknown central European agency and represents nothing other than bin material

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Snowman31 said:

Has the 6z ECM moved south again? If so not good for Sundays snow I suspect 

No.

850'a are much better though for our area.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

58 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Nov 30th to Dec 2nd 2010 saw 34cm of Level Snow here, surprised you never got anything more from that event.

 

with a bit of luck, especially with regards to streamers, i'd like to think we have a chance of repeating those depths over the next few days

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, winterfreak said:

I’m keeping everything crossed that here in the Tonbridge snow shield we finally do ok  

 

2 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

I’m keeping everything crossed that here in the Tonbridge snow shield we finally do ok  

You'll be fine

Hopefully it'll turn red in due course

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

After looking at that UKV run would expect the Meto to go Amber in an area covering Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Kent and Sussex and maybe as far west as Central London initially for the 1st Course taking us upto 2359 Sunday night. Then expect other warnings to crop up for Mon onwards next week. 

Oh and please can we not have too many bust posts when it's still raining tomorrow at 5pm as we know the transition will occur sometime between 8pm tomorrow evening and Midnight. 

Expecting some massive temp crashes probably of 6c in 6 hours

Good luck everyone and good things come to those that wait

with the amount of time we've had to wait, good isn't going to cut it.

Excellent might just about suffice

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, snowblind said:

Also made the mistake of popping into the mod thread earlier. Loads of bickering about a potential breakdown 6/7 days away and virtually no discussion about the next 5 days. Think I'll stay out of there for a while.

Yes, might be best avoided with plenty of toys being launched out of prams.

With current forecast, you'll be better placed in here over the next 4/5 days

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

9 minutes ago, Bradley in Kent said:

Morning all, Bradley here in the Medway valley North Kent.

I'm now confident that we'll see a cold few days early next week,  but am very very sceptical about some forecasts and snow charts.

The dew points are looking high, warm air not too far away and the ground will still be warm from Saturday. Of course snow depths will depend on how long it takes for rain to turn to snow, which in my view will take longer than forecast. Then, even if the snow does eventually settle Sunday afternoon, ppn isn't likely to be heavy enough to stack up depths to those estimates. 

Us down here have massively missed out recently with 4 bust events in the last 6 weeks. I feel these forecasts overdo it and send people into a pointless overhype. 

On a slightly more up beat note, I am of course looking forward to the nowcasting and I'll be happy with even just a dusting!

Your location as nothing to worry about. You are firmly in the sweet spot as things stand.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

17 minutes ago, Southender said:

Lovely Jubbly

Expect MetO amber warnings later this morning.   

Maybe a chance of a red warning later today/tomorrow.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Thats unlike you to pot this 

the optimism is strong in that one

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, simonhall6 said:

Who’s the immature one who’s had a play with a green felt tip pen ?

either that or the hulk has been playing with something else

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Much snowier UKMO 12z run btw:

Pretty close to the GFSp actually!

not sure i'm liking the shape of that to be honest

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

4 minutes ago, haywood1982 said:

What time should we expect the ECM? 

from 6pm

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

SE Essex looking dodgy on those charts as well 

Maybe my 35 months without a dusting is to be extended, would be hilarious if that happened and would tip me over fully to the Mets thinking that Climate change is occuring if we cant get snow from a Scandi Set Up

GFS questionable - UKMO steadfast

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

1 minute ago, Snowman. said:

Icon is pretty nuts for EA. And lots of showers NE england which I believe it is severely underestimating here.

 

Windchill its crazy too, any exposed fingers will feel numb in minutes!

 

wait for the streamers to come into hres territory

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

1 minute ago, winterfreak said:

Lol, I thought it was all sorted.. snowmageddon etc etc and lo, it isn’t. You can’t make it up. 

it'll be alright on the night

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

The Gfs OP is a bit out on its own with the temps over south east... Ukmo and para will  probably be closer to the mark, especially if the ECM shows this too!

agreed, but we mustn't totally discount the GFS even if it is somewhat isolated

[Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?]

2 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Rain?

yep, move on 24 hours

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

North Sea SST's from weatheronline...

 

should be able to walk across from Southend to Rotterdam by the end of next week

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Snow Queen one said:

How old are you lol I remember buying bottles of that to take to parties as a teenager. Can you still buy jt?

It was bought to celebrate the next decent snowfall

Oh, and just turned 50.