[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards]

Snow starting to fall just east of Canterbury, that winds really picked up.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Well this looks interesting.

1.7 here atm, reached -1.5 last night, also still misty.

Does anyone know if the dew piont calculator like the one below are that accurate?

Dew Point Calculator - Find The Dew Point

WWW.OMNICALCULATOR.COM

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Check out the dew point calculator to calculate the highest temperature at which water vapor condenses.

 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Clear patches and Rain showers in East Kent, small amounts of wet snow mixed in, in heavy bursts. 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Jan 2021 onwards]

Had rain on and off today just east of Canterbury,  last few showers have turned to abit of a wintry mix. 30m asl

[Easter weekend temperature forecasting competition]

23.8 Gravesend

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Any reports from Ashford area? Radar looks heavy in that area now

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Looks like a few more showers developing in the channel that could effect further east into kent, but temps just to high at the mo.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Here in canterbury it's a barmy 4c with dew points not much better. 

Oh and drizzle, it's grim 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

Just dropped below freezing here in canterbury. Not sure on dew piont. 

Unless there's a rise in temps as the front approaches. Surely it's got to be all snow.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 07/11/2018]

4 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

according to the  met outlook all we are going to get tomorrow from 8pm onwards are sleet symbols on their chart for ramsgate for five hours, just think if that was snow

 It's your location mate I'm afraid, surrounded by sea within a few miles on 3 sides of thanet 

Further west in Canterbury them symbols are all snow 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

2 minutes ago, Stonethecrows said:

It's not just on here but the beeb, met office, tabloids and the like always make a big deal of it if there is snow down south. Six inches in Wales or Yorkshire for example would not get a mention on the national news but one inch in london would be a third of that evenings bulletin. I suppose maybe they think they deserve snow seen as they often don't see as 

Welsh population 3.1m

Yorkshire And The Humber population 5.4m 

Population of London (inside the M25) 8.1m 

Simple fact that it effects a lot more people that's why it's covered more 

 

[Cold hunt - models and chat]

8 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

giga bite mega bite and terabite u sure , where is this from then, can't even think why they would show a chart in that form

 

4 hours ago, doctormog said:

The balloon data appears to be at 77MB rather than the 18z norm of 99MB. I doubt those 20MB would make any significant impact on the 2TB set.

I’m guessing the 91% is based on the deviation from the daily average not the 18z one

https://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/gfs_gdas_observation_amount_quality.asp

Link in doctormogs post takes you straight to it

[Focussed Model Discussion]

29 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

Sorry to ask questions in here I know this forum is for the more knowledgeable posts . But that vortex over to the NW has been there all winter just ruining our chances of a proper block . When will it move Nick ? I thought it was forecast to drain away but it’s still there ? 

I'm in the same boat as you @ICE COLDim very much a learner and @stodge post is from a far knowledge person. 

But wasn't the draining of that part of the pv or not as it's turned out so far all down to the evolution of the failed easterly and the pv moving into scandi?

 

[Model output discussion - 7th January onwards]

5 minutes ago, snowice said:

UKmo has the low to far East Need to keep that Hp away from us. Don't want a toppler. 

.

I'm no expert but surely it wouldn't be a toppler, due to the low highs in main land Europe the high would turn into a scandi high pressure?

If I'm wrong if someone could put me right will help the learning process

[Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas]

5 minutes ago, More Snow said:

Bloody hell the petty squabbling in here today is probably the worst ive ever seen during winter months.. come on guys and girls lets stop it, yes we are all here to hunt cold and snaw but there is a real world outside with real dung happening affecting real people and yet here we are with you lot all going on at each other like a flake of snaw or not is the be all and end all of days. get a grip.

More snow I've recently discovered the ignore button, makes the thread a more pleasent read, highly recommended lol

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Just now, Seasonality said:

Dan, I know that, it was a joke. A cheesy one I admit. 

No worries mate, wasn't a dig, but hopefully people that don't seem to notice that may look for it now

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

1 minute ago, Seasonality said:

If it shifts further east does the 'correction' become a 'mistaken?' 

A mistake not at all, but over the last 10 years of model watching I and others have noticed a correction west on the models the nearer we get to t0 is often seen

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Great discussion in here tonight @feb1991blizzard, @bluearmy, @CreweCold. I'm not knowledgeable enough to add anything further but great read whilst we have a lull in the hunt

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Gfs para not having any of it at +96 

 

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Am I right in saying the warmer air was suppose to reaching us by the weekend, where as now it's been pushed back until the middle of next week? 

Always the same in a blocked pattern the models always want to blow the block away, but the warmer air gets delayed further each run as the models realise the blocks going nowhere fast.

 

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Icon 0z at +150

Scandy high looking more organised but is the low trying to go over the top?

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

You can see most of the main models together here https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/comp_panel.php

Thanks ss, 

[The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)]

Is there a website where i can compare different models without having to keep switching tabs?

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

 

16 hours ago, chionomaniac said:

We need to be looking West in these scenarios. At T+168 the potential is still there

 

7 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

 

The above is of interest.  We try and look where we are going after the initial Easterly.  06z shows that ‘bomb’ plunging NNW/SSE around turn of the month....not for first time as I mentioned this as a ‘watch’ scenario.  Could this be where we look and have to wait that bit longer for a more stable GHP?  I’m liking this 06z....and the model wrestling....and for me the cold pattern arriving will remain a cold pattern....it’s how it manifests going forward that needs deliberating

 

BFTP

@BLAST FROM THE PAST would you and @chionomaniac both be thinking along the same lines?

[Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold]

0z icon at 120 doesn't look to bad,