Wingman Blue
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Posts posted by Wingman Blue
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Storm Eunuch wasn’t much to write home about but the drop in temp is pretty awesome, three degrees in just over an hour.
Wind now WNW.
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Latest update, wind now westerly, temperature dropping rapidly - 1.7•C in fifteen minutes. Squally showers.
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… and relax. That’s it. Wind now WSW again, sun trying to come out.
No worse than Storm Dudley.
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Just had gusts of 52 and 54 kts, wind now from the south, think we’re seeing the worst of it.
Will be with the rest of the region shortly!
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Easing off here, had 38 kts, sun trying to come out. Still WSW, gauge had dropped to 960.
So far, just another blowy day.
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4 minutes ago, AmberRose said:
Very light snow here
Lucky bugger!
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Unless I’m missing something ( very likely!), Eunice has taken the M4 to the East. Wind now westerly. Glass now 962.
No sign of any travelling wheelie bins yet.
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Blue skies here now. Wind now WSW (not yet the predicted southerly), wind now down to about 10kts with the odd 20kt gusts.
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Let’s hope it’s all a false alarm.
still quiet here, cloudbase at 2,000 feet moving smartly but about 18-20 mph at ground level. Wind still sou-westerly.
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Since Neil Ferguson I’m very sceptical about models!
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5.2•C here at the moment, deathly still and the gauge has barely moved.
Looking at the radar, cloud seems to be moving north east, at this rate it will be North Midlands up into Lancashire.
Strange.
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4 minutes ago, cookie27 said:
Firstly, there are over 30 buildings in London 150m or higher built since. And elsewhere in the country. Population is some 10m higher, more urban development, roads, rail, the list goes on. The country isn't the same exactly is it.
The tall buildings are designed with storms in mind, there aren’t more roads or railways, more houses aren’t going to change anything, and that is infrastructure, not landscape!
Lanscape is hills, rivers, valleys, you know, natural stuff!
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Just come off the Eunice Thread. A big flap on, you’d think it was Armageddon.
Glass still on 985, wind rairly moderate at moment. Thinking it’ll be like the Fastnet Race tragedy in 1980 or whenever. Expecting 65mph with sleet on the tail end here.
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2 minutes ago, matty40s said:
The Malverns are new, the Chilterns just being started and Scafell Pike only half as big as it is now 30 years ago.
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2 minutes ago, Rich_T said:
One of the issues at play is that people are not taking any of this seriously , as their phone apps are what counts weather wise.
For reference in just south of Derby my weather app says Showers ,
Google weather also says winds 28mph , temp 10c
so going by that nothing to worry about, not to bad and "stop fussing"
As mentioned before we have had several weather warnings over the yeas and not much - if any of them have caused severe disruption .
The HGV drivers will still be expected to go out on delivery s, the School bus drivers will still be carting the kids to the various schools and people - like me, will still be journeying to work and back ( i cant work from home )
no one - apart from those on here are taking any of this seriously - its just yet another warning over what will amount to nothing , plus in my location we are too far inland for anything serious to hit when heavy/ deep snow was forecast and warned about it only amounted to an inch with other places to the North, South, East and West got a huge covering , same again with winds no where near a coast and not north enough or even south enough.
So with all that, and the fact that this will hit daytime with people carrying on as usual could be a factor *if*/ this thing comes off as forecast
Well put.
7 minutes ago, Snowy L said:Met Office have an hour to save their reputation imo, it's that conclusive.
I don’t think so. This is just ‘a’ storm.
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18 minutes ago, cookie27 said:
I know there has been a lot of comparisons made with 87 and Burns Day storms. But, it's worth remembering that the landscape of England had changed dramatically over the passed 30yrs and there winds don't need to be that strong to cause devastating scenarios like funneling, mini tornados, etc. Also the timing of this couldn't be any worse really, ground will be saturated due to recent rainfall. There are so many more variables to consider this time and probably the best advice is to stay as safe as you can.
How has ‘the landscape of England changed dramatically over the last 30 years? Where and how?!!
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2 minutes ago, Nick L said:
Are the Met Office seriously arguing that 90mph gusts in relatively sparsely populated coastal parts of Cornwall is significantly less disruptive than 80+mph gusts through London? Utterly baffling warnings.
My sister was living in the City when the 87 hurricane occurred. It had been a hot day and someone had left one of the windows in the NatWest tower open and all night she watched boxes of computer paper(remember them?!) unloading into the night sky!
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3 minutes ago, smichling said:
Glad there's finally a red warning out, although I expect it'll grow this afternoon. Worth remembering that the current amber warning is already at the highest severity, only slightly down on confidence so the reasoning for a red upgrade would NOT be due to models showing stronger winds, but due to an increase in confidence. From this, I would expect a red to be issued this afternoon/evening if the sting jet feature is still present in the 12Z's. I would think it would stretch from APPROXIMATELY Kidderminster through Milton Keynes to Ipswich. The met are looking for confidence now not strength.
Hmmm…. Right through here then….
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20 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
The comments re: "This wont be as bad as 1987" are somewhat unfounded and are underplaying what could potentially be a very disruptive & dangerous storm.
The damage caused in 1987 was the result of a sting jet, that storm is the reason we know sting jets exist, the phenomena was largely discovered as a result of that storm. It's made more famous by the fact it was largely un-forecasted.
Storm Eunice could bring widespread inland gusts of 70-80mph. 1987 didn't even do that, the strongest gusts were reserved for coastal regions/within the sting jet. Some of the modelling for tomorrow is concerning, for context, the Burns Day storm in 1990 brought the strongest recorded winds on record to the London area of 87mph, some of the more extreme modelling for tomorrow challenge that record.
I don't necessarily agree with comparing tomorrow with 87 or Burns Day, however I do think some are underplaying this quite a bit.
Severe storms really aren’t that rare. About a dozen years ago 140mph was recorded at Mallaig harbour on the Scottish west coast!
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Interesting here. The glass is climbing to changeable and wind from the nor’ west.
Suggest Eunice may be following a more southerly track.
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Oh no, a red wind as well ?!!
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1 hour ago, chris pawsey said:
Very interesting weather coming up for us fellow midlanders! Friday looks, let's say active! Looking forward to the model roller coaster but in any case... Be prepared and stay safe
Exactly! Twenty miles south of you will it be rain or Snurr? Fingers crossed that 600 feet asl (our house is literally sat on the 600’ contour) will be the difference if ICON is to be believed.
Still, only 65 hours out, another 12 hours should bring it into the ‘likely’ scenario…
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4 hours ago, Jeremy Shockey said:
A decent chance of some snow for favoured spots in the North @ t78 according to GFS 12z
Well, if anywhere up north gets it, Newbald will! (Was living on Eastgate 11-13)
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Opened the curtains to this!
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Midlands Regional Weather Discussion
in Midlands Weather Discussion
Posted
Still breezy here, gusting up to 30kts but temperature still dropping , five degrees now from the height of the storm.
Looking at the radar there may be the odd snow shower in the next hour or two.