Wingman Blue

You may get cold yet! Friday perhaps?

*Stormforce~beka*

cheese it’s finding that sweet spot, away from valley mists but not high enough for low cloud…. Maybe around the 150m mark?!

Metwatch For interest sakes, where are the Cotswolds and Clent over 300m?

Brassmonkeylily Took me five years!

Robbie Coldrain Maybe you need to move to an elevated rural location? We’ve had this winter, amongst the rain and wind, at least half a dozen days where it barely got much above freezing in the sun, with the shaded pond frozen for nearly a week!

I don’t bother with the models anymore, they seem to be too hit and miss. As of this morning the changing Jetstream is again slightly forward, now early Thursday with main action at the weekend. Back to Azores feed by Tuesday. I expect a Nor’Nor’Westerly Friday-Saturday. we shall see.

Possibly, but we had that cold run of easterlies back in December that weren’t predicted by many too. Jetsteam’s changed. Showing the new drag from Friday morning and then goes ballistic, with feeds from Greenland and then Baffin Island! Make of that what you will…

raz.org.rain I think too much viewing of Hollywood movies where it’s all extremes! Chap I knew bought a hotel in Snowdonia in the early seventies - from the day he moved in it rained every day for seven weeks!

The weather will be what it turns out to be! if we’ve learnt anything this winter is that the predictions too often miss the mark. It’s like predicting a Grand National winner, too many horses, too many variables. The inbound snow may fall at the last fence (it usually does) or an outsider two week heatwave romp home from nowhere. I refuse to get worked up any more!

raz.org.rain That forecast is ten days away!

Friday onwards! That’s what Phil told me!

Punxatawny Phil says “ early spring”!

SunnyG Hi there! Glad you had a nice day! Just checked the Jetstream forecast again, the incoming sweep (from the Hudson Bay if not Baffin Island!) has come forward to the 9th, i.e. a week’s time, lasting through to the Tuesday. Might-be a thermals and wellies time!

Additional to my last! Net weather was right after all, just leapt up to 6.0C. Think we’re currently on the cusp of two colliding weather fronts, glancing from cold to warm (er) like in a pin-ball machine( remember them?!)

I feel for those living in ever-expanding towns and cities, as I once did. I can remember leaving work at Fort Dunlop at the millennium, the temperature was 2.0C lower at the edge of the city. More people, more houses, more cars, all adds to the urban heat. Even waste water can warm up cold roads.

SunnyG Same here in West Devon. Netweather saying 7•C, BBC 8.C. currently 3.1C.

ANYWEATHER Don’t fret, as I posted earlier, the jetstream forecast shows a cold spell from 10th Feb, has done for four days now. currently -1C in West Devon. Forecast this evening was +2C at this time. After five years at looking at ‘the models’, I now believe they are no more accurate than some of those Covid models. one input error early on quickly shows up as a completely false prediction. I go with the Jetstream as that has less room for error ( not that it’s never wrong it often is!)

Warm, wet weather. Just the thing for moulds, fungi and insects. one harsh fortnight and they’ll disappear.

@raz.org.rain The SSW changed things back then, though.

@Metwatch I don’t think winter is over, just yet! Been looking at the Jetstream forecast over the last few days, seems this dross largely with us for the next week or so ( with a cold blip in 5 days), but from the 10th February, we’re getting the jetstream from Nova Scotia northwards. The following week might be interesting!

A false spring, I think. One thing predictable about the last six months is it’s unpredictability! Hard to believe that back in July there we’re confident predictions of a drought starting in Spring of 24. Looking back over the the years the great summers and winters were rarely predicted, though the idea of the weather during Easter week (Sunday onwards) being a microcosm of the following seven months sometimes seems uncannily accurate! Despite all the technical advances of the last thirty years, I still think we’re no nearer to spotting changing weather, let alone changing patterns.

Don’t get too downhearted, the Jetstream forecast looks very promising from a week’s time. Who knows, the N. American cold arrives via Hudson Bay in ten days time?

Hope so, the high pressure was such last night that the fire wouldn’t draw! The next ten days is looking like ‘back and forth’ cold and wet over very cold ground. Still very uncertain though.