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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Northernlights replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In my 60 odd years snow before New Year was uncommon which made 2010 very special much more likely to have snow in January, February and especially in March as sea temperatures had fallen to their lowest point so less modification. Also Arctic ice reached its maximum in late winter and Arctic temperatures their lowest so north winds colder then .Nearly always slushy snow with warm ground in November /December(2010 excepted as extremely cold air crossed North Sea to freeze ground before snow arrived) but lower humidity air in late winter made for drier snow with low dewpoints and lots of grauple. So a lot of winter still to come -
Miserable day here after a fine drying weekend. Started off foggy then became misty with outbreaks of heavy drizzle very wetting stuff. Temperature fell from 11c in the morning to a current 8c as sky cleared in the late afternoon.. A fresh westerly breeze most of the day. Notice current front on radar in the NW of Scotland is almost 50% hail presumably a squall line
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Thought we were heading for a frost with the clear sky sunset but wind from a southerly direction has been increasing all evening. Much needed to dry surface and refresh the stale air in steading for cattle especially calves. will help straw situation too as have been piling it in trying to keep them dry
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Overcast but dry above frost still coming out of the ground. Surface very sticky so no field work for a few days yet Very humid at 8c. First calf treated for pneumonia in spite of having two vaccines at 11.00pm last night again by vet as shot used earlier was a bit weaker so the stronger stuff has to be administered by vet as it is fatal to humans. Up and eating this morning so a good result. This weather is very hard on the lungs.
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No fieldwork today as frost still coming out so surface very muddy and sticky. Started off with patchy cloud. 5c but ground cold enough for a patchy ground frost and even thin fresh ice on some puddles. Load of concentrate feed blown in this afternoon. First calf inside with pneumonia so off to vets for a shot for it In spite of being vaccinated this terrible wet humid frosty weather gives the lungs a very hard time.
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Off to see an, old agri college pal south of Aberdeen yesterday and as we approached Aberdeen you could see snow showers over the north sea . Some made landfall where we were and it remained cold and frosty. High cloud was approaching from the west bit remained cold all the way home to 10.00pm. I felt the cold was putting up a bit of a fight so would not be surprised to see it back fairly soon ,Still icy today but wet surface breezy and 5c