Earthshine

So far this decade we've had two pretty warm Augusts. 2020 and 2022 had CET values of 17.7C and 18.7C respectively. I wonder when we will see the next 19C+ August. If I were betting I would say before 2030.

GFS 0z ends with extremely hot air perilously close to UK shores. If that cut off low was any further west we'd be looking at 40°C being challenged again for the start of July. Extreme heat is likely to build into Iberia so any plume setup will be far hotter than usual IMO

GFS and ECMWF means for day 10. Let's see!

Unbelievably my 17.2°C guess could be in for a chance here do I go for the big 20°C next month though?...

I know many people hate summer weather but I just can't understand the appeal of the second picture (mid winter) compared to the first (mid summer).

Not sure how to delete previous post mean CET has rocketed up to 14.2°C after yesterday's 19.7°C. this will climb quickly next week.

We are very long overdue a 17°C+ June, particularly with such a warming climate. This century we will exceed the record set in 1846 of 18.2°C.

Perhaps my 17.2°C guess might not be so outrageous after all...

I'm definitely a lizard so the hotter the better for me although anything over 40°C is a bit much IMO

I need to find out where these guys get their crystal balls from.

In Limoges, France today. Some cracking thunderstorms around, near constant thunder! Still a muggy 21°C right now.

Looking like some very muggy later this week. Could see the CET rise quite quickly.

Like I was saying before, this May is definitely up there with 2018 and 2020. Could be seeing close to 300 hours of sunlight in parts of the SW by month's end. Mid-twenties possible in western parts too.

That's day 10 now of seeing lots of beautiful sunshine. Today is another stunner.

That would be excellent

I remember seeing a week ago or so 12°C in London under thick cloud and 20°C and totally clear skies further east. Don't see that often!

I've thoroughly enjoyed this May. Excellent thunderstorms and plenty of just stunning gin blue skies. There's been some cloud in the afternoon which has probably brought sunshine hours down. I'll remember this May fondly up there with May 2018 and May 2020, even if the stats don't back it up. I don't remember May 2020 having excellent thunderstorms.

This May is quickly joining the likes of May 2018 and 2020. The cold drab days feel like a distant memory now, we've had a week of near continuous sunshine here in Exeter. The cloudscapes yesterday evening were just gorgeous and we've had a fantastic variety of weather so far. If high pressure dominates until the end of the month this will certainly be a 9/10 May here (deducted a point for lack of hot days).

41.1C is my guess

17.2°C and 85mm First week sees the Iberian Low begin to influence our weather. With warmer than average SST (particularly further SW) the warmth from here will pick up a huge amount of moisture. This will be the theme for June, with the occasional building in of the Scandinavian High. Sunny but frequent heavy showers, particularly as June progresses. We see the new highest minimum mean CET on record, with a remarkable 12.5°C (beating 11.6°C in June 2017) thanks to high SST and large amounts of moisture.

New record minimum temperature this year: 27.5°C

Really enjoying this run up to summer. It's an extremely complicated picture but I think we will be in for some surprises. The atmosphere is in a very unusual state at the moment.

Hot, wet and windy

2020 might be another, both June and August had some good hot spells whereas July had only one freak hot day on the 31st.

Another hot August would be nice. We've had two fairly warm Augusts (17.7C and 18.7C CET for 2020 and 2022 respectively) so far this decade. Both are warmer than anything we got in the 2010s.