The4Seasons
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Posts posted by The4Seasons
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12 minutes ago, Nick L said:
ECMWF just rolling in has edged the winds back up across England and Wales for Sunday. Well into the 70s and hints of exceeding 80mph over inland parts of Wales, perhaps into parts of the Midlands too. This HAS to be an amber warning.
Hi Nick do you have a snap shot of the map of the wind speeds in this update?
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49 minutes ago, Snowfish2 said:
And look at all that rain in the south and east..
No thanks
And check out those hurricane force winds in south west England. I don't fancy that turning up on my door step
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Into 1049mb now at 0c. Speeding up the increase in pressure too. Most interesting weather obs of the winter.
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We are at 1048mb here in South Wales currently. I have just noticed quite a few digital weather stations only go up to 1050mb. What happens if it goes over that?
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20 minutes ago, ThundersnowDays said:
Saw a distant flash of lightning earlier
We had a good storm in cowbridge vale of glamorgan with hail at around 7ish this morning. 1cm hail created a temporary thin covering over the ground. About 7 flashes and close bangs of thunder with gusty winds. Lasted about 30 mins. That was our brief white Christmas lol. Have a good one all
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Come on then - Let's see the photos of this big snow event to those having the best of it. Show the world the glorious white carpet currently showering you in its stunning glory ❄
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7cm was the final total measured here. Not bad at all. Spot on thetipster model ☺
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Some more snow photos from just outside Cowbridge ☺. It is nice to see the cold and snow and makes a change to scrolling the hunt for cold mod thread everyday looking for signs
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Taken about an hour ago
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7 minutes ago, andymusic said:
taken 5 mins ago
We have the same amount I think lol.
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Currently just outside of cowbridge in my village. Getting pretty white
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Snowing here in cowbridge now. Medium flakes
On 30/01/2019 at 08:20, kold weather said:blockquote widget
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3 minutes ago, kold weather said:
Almost certain that the met office will give an Amber warning for you guys some point soon. For the rest of us, yellow suffices. Models are moving away from some of the extreme totals earlier forecast, but still plenty snowy for sure!
That will make up for lost time. Most of us in Wales are yet to see our first snowfall of the winter! Only the higher ground has been lucky so far
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Maybe some heavy snow soon for Manchester area ❄❄?
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Just saw this in the mod thread. Looks good for Thursday. Here's hoping ??
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58 minutes ago, frosty ground said:
Artic high starting to influence Scandi.
Also another slider!It might even snow in north Africa with that chart
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Models this winter have been shocking and extremely poor for medium and long range predictions. I wouldn't believe anything beyond 48 hours at this current performance. I miss the days of Micheal fish, bill Giles, Ian McCaskill, john kettley etc on the BBC. I would love to know what Michael fish thoughts on the current modelling system with all of his years of experience with weather computer technology. Perhaps netweather can put this question to him. It would be interesting to get his view :-).
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Ah well I saw my 1 flake of snow up in Merthyr at work yesterday. That's me done on model watching - jokes lol. Seriously though don't panic all. The models will keep changing so rapidly. No model is even sure for Tuesday where the snow is going to be. Changing all the time showing rain then snow then rain with each run changes it's outcome.. Who knows we might be all jolly in 3 days time onto something great. At least there is no raging Atlantic storms or floods that hit us in early winter atm . The garden isn't a sludge pit for once lol.
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34 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Very snowy nxt weekend on the GFSp as that trough slips SE
That's storm Emma depths again for South East Wales and for a good part of the uk lol. I really hope this happens again. The highways and utility weather briefs were very interesting today. The pros are sure watching this very very closely
??❄
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The position of the slider can change even hours before it arrives. Dec 2017 slider was never 100% accurate until 24 hours before the event.
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https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/what-met-office-says-new-15600961.amp
A very interesting article - the met office thinks the beast may return
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The stratosphere looks like it is going to get fried ☺. Signs of change on later model frames starting to show in the GFS 00z. Obviously far out but a step in the right direction for us coldies. Interesting times ahead.
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52 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Cold uppers just about touch the end of the pier at Great Yarmouth wouldn’t take many more adjustments to put us back in the game though
Maybe a dusting of snow on the pier only then from that chart lol
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Hugely disappointing this morning gfs and ecm. I had a feeling downgrades were coming - US east cold is never good if it gets into the Atlantic so it fires up low pressures. The utility industry/ highways weather updates I guess seem more accurate atm. I plan around them and all we had was a low risk of cold in the weekly update yesterday. Hopefully a turnaround will come.
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Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Hmm that puts my area in one of the worst places. Thanks for posting the chart Nick.