[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 Rich_Clements did my mums Rich Wednesday, same at mums in Yate it was very wet but well drained lawn and like you say it’s looking very scruffy so I set mower on high trim and took a full container load off it, looks lovely now, can even see the miniature Daffs from mums conservatory again dancing in the wind  

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 AWD I know it, got to the point today where I just needed to see some sun so got in the car left Frampton in drizzly spots at 2pm and came to walk the dog on Weston beach. Sunny spells, a tad breezy but glorious afternoon here now which lifted my spirits somewhat today. Currently in dog friendly coffee1 having a well earned Latte before the trek back down the far end of the beach to the car. Bonus - No car park fees today for beach parking yay  

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 jtay that’s a big Patio

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 danm agree but here in lowland southern UK the 2” snow we had Saturday is still on the ground in patches through the woods day 3 and yesterday was +9c so that makes me happy I don’t need 2ft drifts to enjoy actually seeing snow. With careful holiday planning this past winter in Scotland too this is day 17 of being in snow in some form or another

im hoping the GEM earlier (unlikely) is on to something just to end the chase for snow this winter and not the rather rain fest charts from the GFS. We will see. 

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 *Stormforce~beka* thanks Beka but the minute i was set up in the lay-by the next data came in and went from Red back down to normal oh well

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 Mapantz that’s through the AuroraWatch UK app it’s really good trouble is when I get the Red alert that’s for the current moment in time, by the time i get up to the A46 lay-by the next hourly data was back to normal levels oh well always a next time

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Just had an alert and currently on the dark A46 in a lay-by. It’s my birthday today just once in my life show yourself Northern lights

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

To all the moaning mad thread ‘we wont get snow now’ brigade only highest hills etc etc well south Glos at 150’ asl it’s snowing nicely, approx 2” very nice suprise for me this morning and its my birthday weekend yessssss  

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

To all the people saying no chance of southern uk snow now and upper air temperatures etc well here’s 2” of something this morning and still coming down (I’m at 150’ asl)

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 *Stormforce~beka* well I’m blushing Beka but hey in for a penny in for a pound I’ll wear my 48hr Sure spray, but my age probs firing blanks by now but

 Dorsetbred I’ll have to credit check you mate but you seem an honest sort, if you pay this week there’s a special offer on, you get to come up to the bridge and steer the Ark for a while with a captains hat on

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 Dorsetbred looking for partners in this venture mate if you’ve a spare wad of I’m thinking limit people to 100 (50 of each as we will need to repopulate the world)

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 AWD I’m up to 30mm for the last two days AWD in Frampton Cotterell and just walked dog on Yate common and can confirm I’m changing careers and will shortly be starting construction of my Ark. all aboard just £95 deposit payable through PayPal and apple pay 

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

 Hairy Celt

5 hours ago, Hairy Celt said:

if this rain was forecast for south England, there'd be more than a yellow warning.

spot on and I live in the south. Last yellow warning for wind in my area was warranted though tbf my dustbin lid blow open

Anyhow thankfully I’m back up North of Inverness Friday for 8 days and hopefully see some snow like my epic week 3 weeks ago up there  

once again the Scottish regional thread is my go to page guys  

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

I’m going back home tomorrow to NE of Bristol I U Scotland. What a week. Some pictures below from Spean Bridge, Tomich and Lossiemouth 

Im back up Feb 10th for a repeat please

[Moans, ramps and banter]

4 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

It was a fabulous spell and it involved nearly all the British isles! The east and south east and Scotland especially hit hard with showers from the North Sea and a normally barren south west and south wales got the mother of all channel lows giving 40-50cms in some parts. My girlfriend at the time from Abergavenny measured 49cms! I was jealous as I was back in Yorkshire at the time!

She was short then Scott  

 

soz I’ll get my winter  

[Scottish weather discussion - Spring 2023/24]

Lovely conditions in Aviemore today, snowing for a good few hours now. As a snow lover I choose a great week to visit the area again  

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

22 minutes ago, johnholmes said:

Not sure why anyone is saying it was not predicted, UK Met Fax has shown it for several days, forecasts also suggested it tracking east rather than its current south of east. The area predicted for snow has, as it often does , varied between central Scotland and north Midlands!

 

Yes John but it’s more reiterating the fact when a lot of people started bemoaning the fact the cold spell looked ‘mostly no snow for their backyards’ it’s always the case that our cold spells can and do spring up suprise snow in many places (the bands of showers that often can’t be forecast many hours ahead of time) and that’s why even where I live there is always hope

anyhow on to the next few days let’s see what happens before the milder weather pushes back in even up here in Inverness at the weekend. 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

8 minutes ago, Floatylight said:

Did any of the models ever suggest this mornings system dropping to the s/e like this?

I have been following this cold snap for weeks and didn't once see it modelled to this outcome ....

I am surprised none of you have mentioned it?

so much talk of weds low pushing further north or south, and  has been modelled different every run. 

This one going across the middle of the country has really surprised me by the route its actually taking..

There's been snow in chelmsford. 

 

 

 

Yes you’re right nothing really showed this, as always happens in cold spells as some of the regulars have been saying snow suprises can and do crop up out of the blue I’m in the north of Scotland at the moment and it’s like ice station Zebra here (always was of course likely in an artic northerly) and I for one will make the most of it before I head home but I’m sure more suprises will crop up else where indeed a front looks like sinking south tonight too. Enjoy if you get snow where ever you are. 

[Moans, ramps and banter]

I had to pop my head in this thread as I’m very optimistic as I always am in life and reading this thread today I knew would be enough to wipe any hope away and stop me looking like a mad man smiling all the time. 
 

seriously what is wrong with everybody it’s just weather. I’ll wager a lot of us will see a flake or two this week and as always a line of showers will pep up and cause surprises during the week. We are the UK, a dot on the world scale of things and not continental USA with a fridge freezer (Canada) above them so I’m afraid that’s the reality. 

I sill think that front Wednesday will cause more drama before it’s done and dusted and as the regulars always tell us the NWP don’t make the weather. 
 

chins up everyone and spread some smiles in this challenging world we live in and love your family if you are lucky enough to have them
 

 

[Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?]

35 minutes ago, That ECM said:

Ridge gate done, bulge gate nearly done. 
 

we now move on to northerly gate and low gate and then longevity gate.

Then the final hurdle ‘Will I be able to get out of my Gate’ 

mum much more positive today guys thanks to all you posters it makes my day. 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, Rocheydub said:

This is a tad worrying now, I was expecting at least moderate change earlier in the run. Not looking forward to tomorrow morning's runs with my usual anticipation. 

Comment just above you says much better at 132 than I read yours. Confused.com here. 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

1 hour ago, Ali1977 said:

If the ECM is correct we are on the cusp of a 2 week or more big freeze - I reckon, maybe much longer. A rare thing!! 

Reminder Channel 5 at 9pm tonight 1947 Snows. Just saying 

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

24 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

IF, the predictive is correct, it'll miss us down here:

IF

How do you get Predictive Dorset? Is that what you get with Netweather radar subscription?

[South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

16 minutes ago, SilverWolf said:

Anti climax here! A bit windy and some moderate rain… now raining lightly. Was looking forward to a proper squall! Oh well. 

Same here Silver Wolf total bust. I’ve spent an hour in the car anticipating the active front but in 15 mins (3 radar frames) it died a sad death waste of time. 
Perusing a & passionate hobby of weather in this part of the country (love of extremes & Snow, Blizzard’s & cold) is as hard & soul destroying as a climate activist/stop oil fanatic like Greta Thimble burger telling Red Necks in a USA Monster truck rally to go all Electric

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

15 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Atmospheric river coming late December/early January by the looks of it as that AR should transition east. May delay new year's potential. 

If course it will I live by the Mantra ‘if it can go wrong for UK cold it will go wrong’ 

 

anyhow Merry Xmas all and if you all want a day off tomorrow I’ll keep an eye on the models and shout if there’s any interest in the immediate term so away with you all, eat & drink too much and enjoy your loved ones if you’re lucky enough to be with them tomorrow.