Cuban Zebra
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Posts posted by Cuban Zebra
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NW radar shows us under pink at the minute but dry as a bone! Is someone taking the proverbial!!!
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1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:
I’m not saying snow won’t crop up, but that chart vs the precip charts is a kick in the teeth for the entire U.K. !!
As many have said before, precipitation, especially solid and white is difficult to predict for our isle, at 120 hrs they’re as much use as a fire guard of the confectionery type!!!
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Only for fun at this range, but go on GFS!!!!
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16 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Looks good I agree but we’re not getting agreement on 4 days away so suggesting that for this is a bit of a stretch! Things like this nearly always correct South anyway.
Nice to look at and dream of all that snowy goodness though!!
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We finally get what we want and the cold vanishes, a mild, damp easterly anyone?
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We’re all adults here, I’ve had years of hoping and heartbreak. Can’t do it again so am merely planning on middle of the road chilly rain as the form horse! But could this be different, shall I take the first step!
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13 minutes ago, winterof79 said:
Liking the Mogreps graph for Sheffield
Meteociel - Ensembles, modèles ensemblistes
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
Diagrammes, tableux et cartes des modès ensemblistes. Les ensembles sont générés à partir de perturbations des modèles...Looks good but the sole line going mild after the 7th probably has the best chance of verifying!!
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After the disappointing events of last winter I’ve been leaving it a couple of weeks at a time before dipping back in here! We seem to be back at straw clutching and oh so close again.
At least eastern Europe is getting its seasonal weather!!!!
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I’ve stayed away so far after the misery of last winter, I had heard rumblings in the usual media so have dipped my toe in again. Wished I hadn’t bothered, especially when the latest run shows this at the end!
Seriously though, what is driving this turgid pattern we seem to have been locked in forever??
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Just starting to get going here in CleckHeckmonSedge! Got a trip over to Heywood this morning which should be interesting coming back!!
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13 minutes ago, winterof79 said:
Arpege pushing the second wave of snow ever northward then reinforcements move in
Looking good for our neck of the woods!! What are the temps to go with it?
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So the well signalled transfer of the PV looks nailed on, unfortunately nothing falls into place for us and we end up with benign crud and latterly Atlantic driven mild. Then I’m the later frames the PV wants to return home and we end up under Atlantic mild!
You couldn’t make this winter up!!!-
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It’s dominated our weather for some time now but what meteorological reason is for high pressure to set up and remain so close to us??
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These temps plus
this flow set up
equals
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Looking out into the final knockings of FI on GFS we get this, with the flow already in the right direction the cold looks to be coming!!!!
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13 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
Scandi high & mean easterly flow on the extended EC mean but absolutely naff all cold air to tap into.
I know it’s only the GFS but if you look right into FI the cold air starts to build and it could be headed our way as the direction of flow is already set up!
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1 minute ago, Met4Cast said:
The 06z det is a very clear outlier unfortunately, 0 support from it’s ensemble suite.
It could be a trendsetter though, things are starting to stir!
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So looks like next weeks cold snap extending and then after that it all goes a bit bonkers as the PV gets it dancing shoes on over to the favourable side, deep cold starts to build and the high pressure addiction starts to break!
Things are starting to look up for coldies!!-
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The GFS 12z throws out more dirge! High pressure never far from our little isle and more often than not appearing in the wrong place at the wrong time!
At least it’s not just us with much of Europe going early warm spring!! If this is what’s delivered then I think we should ban the mentioning of SSW anytime next winter!!
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1 hour ago, Tills said:
Heading into Spring (01st March) and this high pressure is incredibly persistent. No signs of cold nor indeed a possibility of cold with this parked over southern Britain / the Continent.
It’s quite noteworthy in itself really, all routes lead to high pressure over us or very near!
I fear for all talk of SSWs we’ll just get stuck under milder higher pressures!!!-
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36 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:
Not quite on this run, a few more days on and it would of but boy that’s some high pressure . Interesting few weeks ahead
Further proof that an SSW does not guarantee us cold weather!!
Rubbish really, limpet high pressure all the run through, limpet lobe of PV over Canada, both need to change but don’t show any sign of doing!!
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GFS had us going for a while but it dumps us well and truly back in benign muck territory! You couldn’t wish to creat a worse run for February if cold is your flavour!
I’m done now, bring on spring!!-
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I think this weekend is going to be interesting model watching, it seems primed for a good old GFS picks up something, drops it again then roars back in a t 48-72!!!!
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Yorkshire and E England regional discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Yorkshire & E.England Weather Discussion
Posted
This looks like an absolute non event, been pink over us for last 2 hours, now it’s just cold rain! A load of fuss over nothing!! Paul Hudson may be right!!