I'm a rare poster in here mainly as I just don't have enough knowledge or understanding to comment. These posts look really promising, but I've been over-optimistic before.
What point can we look at models and say cold/snow is pretty much a definite? 2-3 days out? And so I guess all these lovely looking model outputs could still give us nothing if they're at 5-6 days?
Sorry for the low level post but it's nice to hear the real chances in lay terms...
Regards
Ian
ps I live at 280m in the pennines so I'm hopeful....