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Posts posted by Thunder and Lightning
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Oh how I wish I was in that moderate...
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1 minute ago, Chris.R said:
wow 5 CM hail. I can’t even think what that would be like to experience. The most I’ve ever seen is about 8–12 mm.
Most I've seen is probably pea size!
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I think that for Friday's potential, it looks like I am too far south. The AROME and UKV, and pretty much any other model, break out storms on Friday afternoon/evening across the Midlands and N England. Obviously there is still time for that to change, but I am hoping that the stuff across the Channel delivers something.
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1 minute ago, bradleywx said:
Friday pm yellow warning for east just issued
East? More like Whole Country! I'm shocked to be in it really
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Mention of a supercell has me excited!
Convective Weather
CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UKForecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.- 3
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38 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:
On Wednesday we'll be in the middle of a high, so unless an upper low decides to form, I doubt very much anything will happen, no trigger.
I agree, and think that the best chance at least in the SE is probably Friday, which is shown by the big spike in the ensembles. In all honesty I don't feel that confident about this week, but that is mainly just a gut feeling.
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Like @Zak M said: Welcome to another episode of impossible charts! On S3 Ep.1 we have an exciting feature of 3000j/kg of CAPE across the country displayed beautifully by the NetWx-MR! Will probably never happen but still fun to look at!
Come back tomorrow for more on the reality TV Show: Impossible Charts!
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It's absolutely bucketing down outside. I checked the radar and it looks like I have a few strong cells training over me, so that's exciting! Regarding this afternoon's T-Storm potential, I actually wouldn't mind getting nothing if it continues like this.
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I'm a bit confused by the MetO thunderstorm update, it seems to talk more about the persistent rain, and says that the risk of thunderstorms is 'isolated'. Doesn't exactly sound like it deserves a warning then? Please correct me if i'm wrong.
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OMG! ECMWF next week... Yes please!
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3 minutes ago, MR CB said:
I'm surprised this morning - where has this rain come from? Yesterday's forecast only mentioned a front going through East Anglia only but the rain covers all of southern England, Midlands and Wales. I'm getting some heavy bursts here on the south coast. It's most unexpected and welcome! That full 22 degree halo I saw yesterday was right then.
To be honest I am not sure how unexpected it is, given that the Met Office had a rain warning for lots of the areas you mentioned. But I do agree that it was more rain then I thought would happen, and like you said, that is definitely welcome! It's also a nice surprise to have those early T-Storms in the channel.
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1 minute ago, General Cluster said:
Loadsa lovely rain! No thunder but, hey, the rain's what we need!
I woke up this morning and saw that my rain gauge had a lovely 16mm of rain in it! Lovely for the garden whether it was from convection or not.
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Right now I would really do anything to be 1 mile north. These cells are just completely teasing me.
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While I was about to complain on here about storms trimming me by less than a mile, a juicy cell popped out of nowhere and looks to be moving toward me. Knowing the way things go, it will shift track at the last minute, but looking good for now. To be honest I have no reason to complain whatsoever because of what I have seen earlier today.
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1 minute ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
Yeah looks like another shear funnel. I captured my first funnel a few days back and was a shear funnel. Typically spawn higher up in the atmosphere from general cumulus clouds! Quite rare & good find
Thank you! I'm so lucky to see 2 so close together let alone 1.
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Just now, Ben Sainsbury said:
Of course my apologies! Being in the SW it's sometimes easier for me to look at the France Sat to get an idea when the skies will clear. Thanks for the UK Sat anyway!
Definitely they come in very handy!
Thank you as well as I didn't realise there was a zoom-able, movable version of Sat 24!
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Even though I'm not in it, I'm super excited by this more southern moderate risk today!
Convective Weather
CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UKForecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.- 4
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Just now, AMeltedFlake said:
What's the best way to work out the direction of a cell? Using the radar and going through each frame works ok, just wondering if there's a different technique? There's two cells near me (Bishops Castle) and they seem to be going in ever so slightly different directions thanks in advance!
If you have Netweather Extra then you can turn on rain accumulation on the V8 radar and on the past 1 or past 3 hours then it gives you a good idea of where they are headed. Other then that and looking through each frame I'm not sure I know of any special technique!
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Storms and convective discussion - 18th June 2020 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
What is going on with this sounding? It looks like it may have been struck by lightning