Superstormuk

Took this photo about an hour and a half ago in Surrey. Hard to see because of the sun, but some clouds popping up. Maybe, I was wrong after all and the SE does see some activity.

As much as the met have their issues, I'm going to go with their forecast tonight. I don't think the brunt of these storms will travel as East as we would like. The air is just too hot and dry. I think (like the met are showing) these storms will hug the West as they travel north where there will be enough moisture to maintain them. As the night progresses and the air temperature drops, these storms will travel further East, however they will be well clear of the Midlands by then. That's not to say that some other areas won't see some action, however it will most likely be some precip, maybe a few flashes of lightening in the early hours of the morning (mostly elevated). Nothing too intense compared to what the West could see.

Looks like I'm taking a little road trip tomorrow night. Any predictions on what areas will see the most severe weather?

I'm surprised the met office still haven't released any weather warnings, they're normally trigger happy. I mean T-Storms in the SW are a pretty much a given, it's now just a matter of the actual positioning of these storms. I reckon convection is going to be crazy as these storms track NE. We could see some nasty weather. What's the chance of these storms shifting slightly further East? I would love to some activity closer to me.

Looks like the system has travelled further north than first indicated. The rain has really picked up where I am. Don't know if I'll hear any thunder, but you never know.

It looks like the South Coast and Kent is going to see some nice action around 3-4AM. It's interesting that systems that move up from the channel, follow this similar trajectory.

The humidity increased massively here in Surrey, in the past hour. You can feel it in the air. It could be an indication of things to come. Still just drizzling though.

No worries, I'll do it now. I thought I had when I created account, but obviously not.

Exciting. I'm currently in Egham, Surrey. (in)Accuweather have just updated 51% T-Storm chance for around 18:00 tonight. Forecasts also show reasonable precipitation over the SE for tomorrow and then T-Storms Saturday. With all this high pressure building, I have high hopes for this weekend.

I'm currently in Surrey, and it seems like a cell has suddenly developed over me. So far it has only brought a little bit of rain. I doubt it will bring anything major, but it's worth keeping an eye on. Photos below:

Guys, there's a few variables we need to consider this year. Firstly, the jet stream is still awkwardly positioned in an omega pattern. So, even though warm air is pluming up towards us, we still have low pressure surrounding is which is making our weather still quite volatile. Secondly, we haven't had any considerable heating yet. It's only really been 'warm' for the past couple of days. I reckon towards the end of the week when we've had consistent, and significant ground level and atmospheric heating, we will start to see more versatile storms. These storms may even be homegrown for once, instead of relying on systems that travel from the south over the Channel. I never expected last night to be anything special, there just hasn't been the conditions to validate any significant storm activity. Just my two cents.

Just realised my radar was way out of sync. Looks like the current system could split, with one of the resultant systems heading direct for Hampshire/Sussex. Maybe, some of us could see some decent activity after all.

Watching the radar right now. Looks like (if the system continues on its current path) the majority of the activity will not even hit the south coast. *sigh* That's (of course) if things don't intensify over the channel, which currently seems unlikely. Other areas will most likely see heavy showers, possibly with a few rumbles of thunder, as the system moves north east. But, nothing like the Met Office and other services were implying. Interestly enough, accu weather are forecasting thunderstorms for tomorrow afternoon in Surrey (maybe they know something we don't).