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Mitch the motorbike storm

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Posts posted by Mitch the motorbike storm

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Mitch the motorbike storm

    4 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

    This all reminds me of the well-known Jan 1978 "Cleveland superstorm" or Great Lakes blizzard, a very deep low (954 mbs) passed through the area where I lived at the time (near Toronto), did considerable damage to infrastructure including taking down large hydro-electric towers near London Ontario, as well as blowing an A/C unit off a roof into my parking space at work, luckily neither I nor the car were in said space but would be five minutes afterwards; all of that happened during a frontal passage and windshift as the superstorm rotated violently. Today's event is gliding along at an angle that could prevent a worst case scenario of organized frontal windshift in southeast England, if that does begin to develop, all bets are off about highest wind gusts.  

    To your question field is all of south west and south east, wind is blowing against trhw House can hear the creaking, and massive tress behind my house , and on days with a slight gust in other areas.  here it's a struggle to open the door and close it 😂 so I think we are in for a beating from how exposed we are with 2 miles of field 

     

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    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Roger J Smith said:

    Is open field facing SW? Not wanting to scare anybody but local variations from 60 to 90 mph, or 100 to 150 km/hr. In passing squalls very localized wind damage streaks often occur, it becomes very much luck of the draw on where the streaks of strongest wind will occur.

    Facing south west yes the wind is blowing directly against my house where there is full exposure and tress behind the house taller than the house 😂

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

    Would be around 0500 to 0700 for your peak winds, are you near Ramsgate? I am under impression manston is near eastern extremity of Kent? 

    Yes near Ramsgate however my houses face an open field about 2 miles long so get very strong gusts as my house is very exposed , what potential gusts could I see here 🙂 thankyou

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Roger J Smith said:

    Would go from severe storm watch to warning for west Sussex next 30-60 min, east Sussex 45-90 min time frame. 

    Centre is now about 20-30 miles south of Plymouth, will probably be very close to our poster mapantz in east Dorset around 0400. Centre will be inland after 0330 entering around Portland. 

    Two squall line features are visible, plus a larger-scale occlusion into central France now wrapped around past eastern Kent. Of the two active in England, first one is approaching Sussex, second one is near Dorset coast. A sort of eyewall feature in Cornwall and Devon will move along with low centre. 

    Peak wind gusts for all but western or Channel Island readers will occur around 0400-0700, the storm will be spreading inland soon east of Dorset. In Cornwall and Devon, winds will back from ESE to NE to NNW and will remain moderately strong, possibly picking up from NW during morning but east of Portland expect winds to slowly veer SSE to SSW and unless you are very close to calm centre (inside 960 mbs) any lull in wind speed will be small and brief. Peak winds likely as low moves past you to NNW. 

     

     

     

    What would you say for Manston in kent 🙂 is it going to get lively here or shall I call it a night 

    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, Daydream Boy said:

    Weakening already?! Are you sure? I'm sure it's not meant to be at its lowest pressure until it's over central southern England 🤔

    Looking at windy and zoom.earth, the winds don't make it to my area now where as before they did , there was gusts of 90 predicted in lydd and now 80 ish, with rhe strongest winds now arriving at 9 not 8, maybe not weakening but its more south prediction than anticipated 

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    Storm Ciarán

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, Roger J Smith said:

    145 km/hr around 0600-0900, assume any trees in vicinity could fall in SSW to NNE direction, park vehicles with that in mind, also loose objects and roof tiles would hurtle in SW to NE path, assess parking accordingly. Would urge any residents of southeast to follow same protocol, save yourself damage to cars etc, you have a few hours before peak gusts will hit late overnight. I am not saying every tree will fall, but some are sure to do so and you can predict to some extent where they will reach ground, a fairly safe place to park outside is on north to east side of a sturdy building, or in a lower spot well away from trees or potential sources of flying debris. Just go to your parked car, look south to southwest, ask yourself, is there a tree that could fall on it? If so, move it.

    (*wins hero of UK insurance industry award*)

    🙂

     

     

     

     

     

     

    I have some huge trees outside my house 😱😱😱😱

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