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ChannelThunder

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Everything posted by ChannelThunder

  1. ChannelThunder
    Wow; UKV 12z is even better!
  2. ChannelThunder
    Andy Bown I'd settle for that
  3. ChannelThunder
    Quite a big southwards nudge on the latest UKV! I'm not gonna say that 'b' word from the model thread, but I'm thinking it...
  4. ChannelThunder
    I know we can't take these things too literally, but I like the position of that shortwave on the fax charts for midnight UTC tomorrow:
  5. ChannelThunder
    CoventryWeather sadly it's looking like a very late one; the low itself has got to get all the way here from Tunisia, where it's parked at midday today! Edit: it's kind of hard to tell whether a new low entirely is born from its remains, only on mobile at the mo!
  6. ChannelThunder
    Eagle Eye similar weather, very different timings! Let's hope UKV has the timing right, because it's a work/school night after all!
  7. ChannelThunder
    UKV has woken up overnight, then! Just about keeps me in the game but one northward shunt and it's game over.
  8. ChannelThunder
    Zak M some similarities, yes!
  9. ChannelThunder
    Kent imports some absolute humdingers on the 12z ECM, tracking from there over central southern England and over to south/mid Wales, followed by afternoon homegrowns north of London. A little nudge southwards would be fantastic for me but I'm not banking on it as it currently looks like we'll be on the frontal rainfall side of things!
  10. ChannelThunder
    CoventryWeather ah I see! No point looking there then haha
  11. ChannelThunder
    viking_smb This has happened before. Sometimes Paul posts an update to let everyone know it's down. It's not just Netweather either as WeatherOutlook's version is stuck too. I think the last time this happened, it sorted itself out on the following 15z...
  12. ChannelThunder
    Interesting that the Met Office are fully behind their model and not entertaining that this event could just as well be further north and east. Aidan mentions frequent lightning for the southwest:
  13. ChannelThunder
    It'd be into UKV range now to keep an eye on without waiting for the 3/15z runs. However, it hasn't updated since 3z!
  14. ChannelThunder
    Eagle Eye aren't we just? Very strange direction of travel for this event!
  15. ChannelThunder
    Eagle Eye do you mean as it drifts northwest? that's the direction it looks to be taking.
  16. ChannelThunder
    Summer8906 yeah, west Isle of Wight. We had a cumulus field after the front but for the last half hour it's been clear skies. Hopefully heading your way!
  17. ChannelThunder
    The weather on the back end of low pressure systems can be stunning, just look at this today Amongst all the rain and cool conditions, this is somehow the second Sunday running I've been able to both start a tan for the year, produce some vitamin D and get stuff done in the garden!
  18. ChannelThunder
    viking_smb even further east on tonight's ECM! A good lightning show for some fish and those working on oil rigs perhaps...
  19. ChannelThunder
    CoventryWeather yeah, looks great there, but can't help thinking the ECM will be right and the whole lot further east.
  20. ChannelThunder
    Tiny bit of hope on the UKV for some cells tucked in behind frontal rainfall down here tomorrow night.
  21. ChannelThunder
    Metwatch I've been keeping half an eye on this in recent model runs. Certainly an unusual synoptic set up playing out on the ECM. In theory there could be modified plume storms drifting in from the North Sea, which isn't something that happens very often at all!
  22. ChannelThunder
    Alderc 2.0 Nothing surprises me at the moment. All I recall seeing for weeks now is model runs that do everything they can to end up with a northerly!
  23. ChannelThunder
    Metwatch while the data there is disappointing, it's at least good to know we're not all mad/delusional/overdramatic in commenting on a decline.
  24. ChannelThunder
    Alderc 2.0 Believe it or not, I recorded 17.2C this afternoon, which is now the warmest it's got so far this year on my station. Pretty pathetic for two thirds of the way through April.
  25. ChannelThunder
    There's been little to get excited about in the models this week, but suddenly on its last couple of runs, the Euro is swinging a low down from the NW and parking it in Biscay, close enough to throw up unstable conditions from the southwest next weekend. These sorts of scenarios seem more likely to deliver in Spring or early autumn, so one to watch. Still a little bit in FI but hopefully it's still showing in a few days.
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