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Everything posted by ChannelThunder
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
*Stormforce~beka* 1-2am by looks of it. Latest Arome is far from encouraging down here though... -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
SilverWolf exactly! I've seen the word brought out on here prematurely, shortly before Blitz has then litten up! Obviously every situation is a bit different, but it can't be called a bust until it's actually appropriate to do so based on timings and severity on model runs and outlooks. -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm not a mod, but if people can refrain from using the word 'bust' (if actually applicable) until at least the scheduled time of the storms, that'd be great! Just a little pet peeve from previous recent events...- 874 replies
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Daniel_c150311 this one is more of an Algerian plume if you trace it back! Very unusual, don't recall it happening before but I dare say it has done before my living memory! -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
LightningLover if you're a Cumulonimbus, that looks like a delicious 5 course dinner -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Very much now looking better placed here in Winchester than I will be back home tonight! -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Southern Storm can see you ending up with about 2 hours sleep before work if you do chase... So the boring but safe option would be to stay put! Nobody wants to try and function at work on that little kip! Unless you can book some late notice leave -
Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Eagle Eye's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
On an office day in Winchester so I'll be quiet in here 'til later on! If I took my car over for these days I'd have been tempted to stay over on the mainland to open up chase opportunities for the night, alas I'll be back home hoping the storms come to me! It does increasingly look like the most lightning activity will be over Kent, Sussex and then northwestwards of there, I think I'll be on the edge of that and could just get stuck with heavy rain . -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Wow; UKV 12z is even better! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Andy Bown I'd settle for that -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Quite a big southwards nudge on the latest UKV! I'm not gonna say that 'b' word from the model thread, but I'm thinking it... -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I know we can't take these things too literally, but I like the position of that shortwave on the fax charts for midnight UTC tomorrow: -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
CoventryWeather sadly it's looking like a very late one; the low itself has got to get all the way here from Tunisia, where it's parked at midday today! Edit: it's kind of hard to tell whether a new low entirely is born from its remains, only on mobile at the mo! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Eagle Eye similar weather, very different timings! Let's hope UKV has the timing right, because it's a work/school night after all! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
UKV has woken up overnight, then! Just about keeps me in the game but one northward shunt and it's game over. -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Kent imports some absolute humdingers on the 12z ECM, tracking from there over central southern England and over to south/mid Wales, followed by afternoon homegrowns north of London. A little nudge southwards would be fantastic for me but I'm not banking on it as it currently looks like we'll be on the frontal rainfall side of things! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
CoventryWeather ah I see! No point looking there then haha -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
viking_smb This has happened before. Sometimes Paul posts an update to let everyone know it's down. It's not just Netweather either as WeatherOutlook's version is stuck too. I think the last time this happened, it sorted itself out on the following 15z... -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Interesting that the Met Office are fully behind their model and not entertaining that this event could just as well be further north and east. Aidan mentions frequent lightning for the southwest: -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It'd be into UKV range now to keep an eye on without waiting for the 3/15z runs. However, it hasn't updated since 3z! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Eagle Eye aren't we just? Very strange direction of travel for this event! -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Eagle Eye do you mean as it drifts northwest? that's the direction it looks to be taking.