GFS 00Z op pretty much a warm outlier in terms of 850s thankfully, although the control does follow it closely. Bring on the autumn weather I say, we've had our fair share of warmth and dry weather this September.
As has been mentioned already, a few runs touching around the -10 850s mark now.
The Op was quite a mild outlier in the mid to long term too. Looking like a chilly/cold snap is firming up now.
Unfortunately all of those heavy snow symbols from earlier for tomorrow, have now been replaced by heavy rain ones by the met office. Location near Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk.
Looks like it's game over, not that it even started!
No idea if this is what will actually happen tomorrow, but this is what the met office forecast for here just outside Bury St Edmunds Suffolk is showing for tomorrow.
We always seem to see downgrades from the models over the weekends, only for everything to look more promising (cold wise) come Monday again. It seems to happen every winter!