pinball wizard
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Posts posted by pinball wizard
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Trigger is basically something that causes the air to be forced upwards, csn be a front, orographic features or wind convergence for example. If the air doesn't keep rising and condensing then you won't get cumulonimbus cloud's developing
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There's a very thin line of ppn heading towards the eastern side of central southern england in the channel. It's trying......very trying
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It will be interesting to see the SST anomalies in a couple of weeks time if current model runs verify
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Some interesting analysis and charts here, albeit not particularly inspiring for us here in the UK with the possible exception of Southern UK during December
Winter 2023/2024 Snowfall Predictions: The Jet Stream shift from the El Nino anomaly is Forecast to have an impact on snowfall patterns next season » Severe Weather Europe
WWW.SEVERE-WEATHER.EUWinter 2023/2024 snowfall predictions for United States, Canada and Europe, from the global long-range weather forecasting systems-
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5 minutes ago, Uncle_Barty said:
I don't know about the potential heat, but the high T850s and a cooler undercut could lead to some pretty special radio conditions next week, for those who are so inclined....
What like enhanced bass and clearer sound?
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Much like the hurricana itself this thread has gone from cat 4 to tropical storm. No posts in ages
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44 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
We must be due an epic January cold spell - Surely.... I'll get mi coat
We are here!!
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On 21/08/2023 at 22:56, Midlands Ice Age said:
Thanks AlexisJ..
At least you are acknowledging/understanding what I am getting at.
Nobody else seems to have any ideas - since CC policy is assumed to solve the problem..
My concern is that about 70-80% of CO2 produced today comes from China and the USA. (India, Russia and Gemany are the next highest at the moment).
Calculations show that if the UK went to zero emissions today we would only change the temp in 2100 by a 0.01C decrease . (out of a roughly calculated 4C increase at medium CO2 output estimates).
90% of other countries are in the same boat.
Without the full buy in from the USA and particularly China, we are powerless to significantly impact the climate by 2100.
What we are doing is symbolic. We cannot change the outcome. only putting pressure on China, in particular, will alter the outcome.
China is still increasing its CO2 output each year by more than the rest of the world produces during the same timescale. The fact that they are also investing in renewable resources does not stop the CO2 being produced!!.
So assuming (and Reef already alludes to this), that we cannot prevent the warming taking place for one reason or another, then what else is left?
Well we have the possibility of a new technology breakthrough which could produce limitless and cheap power, which is made available to everyone.
But that is also a very risky assumption to make.
We could hope for a rapid change in the climate to cancel out the CO2 effect. - Again very high risk.
So what to do?
If indeed CC is the top earth shattering priority that people seem to think it is, then my suggestion is that we should now start to put climate amelioriization (?) - by the use of current known technologies, also as a top priority. The idea being to reduce the impacts of the worst that CC can throw at us.
MIA
Some interesting ideas and points made there. One part in particular that I agree with is what you say about China/USA. China is in no way going to compromise it's economic growth plans to save the world and the USA is not going to renounce its economic and political strength.
Maybe in 30 or 50 years time when CC tech is more efficient and cheaper and the costs of GW really begin to bite in their respective countries they'll change their ways.
Until then we must hope that human scientific ingenuity can help mitigate the stupidity of political and economic decision making.
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I don't know what it is about this thread but it always seems to be the same posts as the previous year
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Looking west
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Just now, Alderc 2.0 said:
Ironically in a zone outside the warning area issued by the Meto….
I'll give you that one
Can hear thunder now
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Just now, Juanmoorchants said:
Some beefy cells in Mid Suffolk according to the radar. Raining in Brentwood, Essex currently
Some big storms possibly breaking out over suffolk very soon. Sky is beginning to look threatening
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This was just east ipswich at 6.15
Storm now breaking out
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1 hour ago, Alderc 2.0 said:
I always find
The metoffice are again making themselves look silly with the large hail comments. Every time they issue a storm warning large hail comes into it.
1 hour ago, Alderc 2.0 said:1 hour ago, Alderc 2.0 said:Thats because there is the RISK of large hail, doesn't mean it WILL happen
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UKV 12z looking decidedly tasty
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The 06z UKV is interesting in so far as it provides two separate waves of possible storms. First wave during the morning from what looks like a channel MCS, then a second less pronounced wave late afternoon early evening.
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Just now, *Stormforce~beka* said:
I meant your storm you twazzock LOLOL
(my kids are still up as we speak. I'm slowly going insane ...)
Never have guessed
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1 minute ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
I'm most definitely not ok. 3 Twister's in the garden right now. Thank stained glass window one is ripping up next doors tree. I don't like it any way ... It's growing through the fence and damaging it ...
LOL. If I start to pee people off do tell me and I'll stop. Just trying to lighten up this ridiculous year we've all had to live through!!
Lol sounds like you've your hands full with those twisters!!
Being serious we've torrential rain here now
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Just now, *Stormforce~beka* said:
Omg it's raining torrential marshmallows!!!!!
Lol put the wine down love
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1 minute ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
I'm praying for you darling
Fantasyland ...
Lol I thought as much, checked out the radar for winch and was wondering if you were all ok
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50 minutes ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
Getting bad here. Lamp posts are rocking and the road is juggling up and down!!
Where are you this evening Beka?
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1 minute ago, Thunders said:
They kicked off about 22:00 but only starting to hit the uk now
Yeah and UK is the area of interest in this thread!
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23.00 and things kicking off as expected
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I'm looking at 23.00 for a marker as to what may kick off
Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Could that be an elevated storm where ppn is not falling to the surface?