9 severe warnings this summer for my area. 9 times we haven't even had a drop of rain. This is why I don't get hyped with forecast charts, models, trends etc... Because 110% of the time they get moved away from area, downgraded and eventually removed altogether, even the ones that are still active never come to fruition. That's why I don't take much notice of when people put models on here as ludicrous as 4 days ahead of the so called 'events'.