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03jtrickey

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Posts posted by 03jtrickey

  1. Well here are a few thoughts from me:

    Good that we are seeing snow further south, definitely looks promising. If you look at the 18Z, see that the PPT was forecast to be centred over Lyme Bay, now it is just E of Portland. Therefore it's 40-50 miles east. The heaviest is forecast over SW wales at 3am - shunt that 50 miles east and where is it? Cheltenham... :D

    Maybe I'm being a little optimistic... we will see..

  2. Could this be a 1978 repeat? Reading the snow forecasting thread at the moment!!

    "Another situation is when you have high thicknesses and higher 850mb temps, but a cold undercut (continental typically), here wet bulb will be several degrees below zero, so snow is more likely than rain as the cold air at the boundary layer undercuts the warm air aloft. (this was responsible for the blizzrds in the westcountry in feb 1978, thicknesses here were well above 528 and 850mb temps in the SW nearer to 0 to +1C."

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