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Posts posted by Matt H
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Wow, what a fantastic set of model runs this afternoon so far. Virtually all of the mild outliers have vanished from the GEFS 12z ensemble suite as well with a very clear signal for a cold spell developing from the 6th February onwards now. The mean has even breached -8C for the first time as well with the many of the runs going colder still. Momentum is slowly building in our favour, I just hope the ECM stops messing around this evening.
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Just now, winterof79 said:Wow no need to get upset. I had an opinion that was all. Half the UK are not getting snow on Saturday.... Chill.
In all fairness Tim is just discussing a weather system that has the potential to produce a rain/snow event for a vast swathe of the country on Saturday. Many other people have also commented on this same weather system recently as well so I’m not sure what the issue is?
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1 minute ago, nick sussex said:
Waiting for the ECM to come out , tension building ! Almost as exciting as waiting for the Eurovision Song Contest results !
Hopefully the UK won’t fare as badly on this ECM run as we do in the song contest though.
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Frosty Winter
FWIW the GEFS 18z ensemble mean is an improvement out to t162 with the high pressure ridging further north over the UK. Hopefully this is the start of a trend that continues to improve tomorrow morning.
12z:
18z: