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Everything posted by Frigid
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Could well end up being another Feb 2012 if we don't get another cold spell at the end of the month. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
JFF but P20 rly going for it on this one. Overall, the GEFS 12Z looks much better than the 06. Let's not give up just yet -
Up to the 8th Feb, winter 2020/21 has been great and it’s not over yet with the coldest weather yet to come. January was very good in terms of snow and cold here. December also decent with 2 good snowfalls and a frosty Christmas period. I forget how much of a contrast it is to last winter, which we all remember was one of the worst. This time last year we were all under the grips of Storm Ciara. One year later, an easterly
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Coldest minima winter 2020-2021 season
Frigid replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ECM 12Z forecasting lows under -10 in the south. Granted if we get clear skies, slack winds and snow cover it’s possible. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A nice cluster of very cold uppers showing up on the 18Z GEFS suite continuing the cold spell. Something to keep an eye on perhaps. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd suspect a lot of wobbles with the models, just how it went last week with the current easterly. But one thing I can say is we're not in a bad position whatsoever -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Surely that’s not right. If it were then it well could be the Coldest February since 1991, for London anyways -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Feel like the snow only benefited the SE. Here in Manchester, all we got was snow flurries. Nothing like the 2018 BFTE where we got continuous snow for 4 days piling up to 12cm at the end. We got more snow in January this year. -
February 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Frigid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Your prediction of 1.9c may not be far off if the cold lingers around until the 3rd week. As for the next few days, it looks very cold in the CET zone and the outlook is anticyclonic which raises the possibility of more night frosts. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ooo this could be a stonking run this!! -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Right, the ensembles are still keeping it cold up to the 18th and quite dry too. OP looks like an outlier in Fl -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Because of the lack of snow I assume. Personally I feel like, let the cold in first and worry about the prospect of any snowfall later on, considering how sporadic it can be -
February 2021 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
Frigid replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
There certainly is support across the models to keep it cold, daily maxes don't look above freezing in many places for 10 days at least, and minima could be especially low. I'd take a hard guess and say sub 1c is a possibility to the 20th -
Winter 1990-91 The great December snowstorm/February freeze
Frigid replied to Weather-history's topic in Historic Weather
Thats incredible! Also incredible that we are currently amidst in quite a cold spell right now, 30 years later -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd be quite scared if that came to fruition We could be on the cusp of a lengthy cold spell here looking at all the models! Feb 1991 maybe paying a visit on the 30 year anniversary. Or 1986, even better. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Manchester will be bone dry and the temperatures are a bit underwhelming considering the 850hpa temps. On the bright side, MetO is now forecasting snow on Tuesday, could be one of those streamers!
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Frigid replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sub -10c temps on the snow covered fields for sure!