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MJB

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Everything posted by MJB

  1. ECM is still catching up but 144 is really our limit , the next 10 -14 days will snow for areas in the UK that's for sure .
  2. And that's your lot Phil , that's about as far as any of us dare look. Mush better to that point it has to be said
  3. It depends just how far inland it can push, 50 miles makes a huge difference and is impossible to call even 24 hours out from the event. I am in N Oxfordshire and done very well being in a sweet spot , I have also stayed bone dry when the system hasn't got as far North as predicted and I have had rain when the system has edged further North , I have had rain and Daventry ( 20 miles up the road ) has been a Winter Wonderland
  4. We have another 17 days this month , that's a huge amount of time to set up a wintry February . We rarely get a cold snowy January , maybe this is the "set up" month for February ? Post of optimism
  5. A lot of reactions to a run that hasn't finished , wait for the ENS to see just where it sit's and how much support it has
  6. I wouldn't say they are ( SSW ) overestimated , it's no given we get cold weather from it
  7. Just wondering how you can write the cold spell off after a few frames of the GFS OP , the OP could be the mildest in the pack or one of them with very little support
  8. 144 UKMO looks ok to me , it looks as though it will carry on it's path and colder air to follow
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