MJB
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Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed it is quite clear they aren't sure just how far the really cold air will dig , the fact that they are mentioning Southerly tracking LP's is always a good sign and as we know can produce some cracking snow events ..............................for some -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I do ......................................................a mild one -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes but tomorrows 192 won't be like this evenings 216 , that really is nothing new , as long as the trend stays the same -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yet again for the 1,0000000th time wait for the ENS before coming to any conclusion -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The MO in their updates have covered ever option going , they are no fools -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
MJB replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And that won't happen until we are in the 72-96h , you are never going to see it as this range -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's ( OP ) not alone though Joe ,it has plenty of mates hugging the -10 -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEFS look good IMO up to 240 -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
After the last few sets of GEFS , I 'm betting this will be on the high side -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not the one I have read or are you talking about the next update -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Shocking ECM if we are honest - roll on GFS 18z -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
n Not so sure on this run -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thing is mate they are all inconsistent after 120 at the minute , its a job what to know we will get from this lucky dip -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFSP is stunning .............if only -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is interesting from Darren ( Retron on TWO) I also remember on usw ages ago a suggestion that the sort of thing we have now, i.e. a 10hPa reversal followed by a weak resumption of westerlies aloft helps "push down" the easterlies that bit faster. To then be followed by another reversal would suggest those easterlies, once pushed down, would remain there for quite some time. I wonder if there is anything in the archives for a comparison ? -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don't forget there are other warmings up above in the pipeline - they could just give that extra push -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A guessing game from everyone in the weather industry , John Hammond in his Monthly update is also guessing . No one really has a clue do they ? do we ? lol -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well you are clearly I have posted what was requested , end of -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
MJB replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As per the Beeb have just shown , " much uncertainty " Stav said -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
MJB replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion